CHAOS WIN
05/04/2026 · Match #5 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/5/2026, 1:34:54 PM
Kills
16 – 40
MVP · best KDA
Weak3n 15/2/14
Biggest Elo gain
Weak3n +8.9
Biggest Elo drop
TramboneKing -6.2
Balance Analysis
Based on 104 prior matchesORDER
52% win prob
Δ 14
Balanced
CHAOS
48% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 100% Order / 0% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
sillyslother
OVR
Gold II
JUNGLE
Poo Poo I
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 82 · 62% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
JUNGLE
Gold I
ADC
Riptzer
OVR
Diamond II
ADC
Poo Poo II
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 28 · 54% favored
Tricky
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
Bronze II PLACEMENT
MID
Draiden
OVR
Bronze III PLACEMENT
MID
Bronze III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 6 · 51% favored
DeltaJulz613
OVR
Silver III
MID
Amber I
SOLO
TramboneKing
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber II PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 6 · 51% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze I
SOLO
Amber III
SUPPORT
[CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420
OVR
Amber I
SUPPORT
Silver III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 39 · 56% favored
Xuffer
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) 16 kills Team Δ -18.1
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | sillyslother | 4/7/5 | 1.29 | 73 | ▼ -5.0 | 68 | 58 | |
| ADC THIRD | Riptzer | 1/7/10 | 1.57 | 123 | ▼ -2.4 | 120 | 70 | |
| MID SECONDARY | Draiden C TOP DMG | 7/3/7 | 4.67 | 21 | ▼ -0.7 | 21 | 3 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | TramboneKing | 1/11/3 | 0.36 | 6 | ▼ -6.2 | -1 | 5 | |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | 3/12/6 | 0.75 | 16 | ▼ -3.7 | 12 | 27 |
CHAOS (WIN) 40 kills Team Δ +31.2
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n MVP | 15/2/14 | 14.50 | 139 | ▲ +8.9 | 148 | 104 | |
| ADC | Tricky C | 7/6/11 | 3.00 | -37 | ▲ +1.9 | -35 | 22 | |
| MID | DeltaJulz613 | 9/2/14 | 11.50 | 38 | ▲ +6.9 | 45 | 32 | |
| SOLO THIRD | Jonhy0700 | 9/2/16 | 12.50 | 30 | ▲ +8.1 | 38 | 96 | |
| SUPPORT | Xuffer | 0/4/25 | 6.25 | -2 | ▲ +5.4 | 3 | 3 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Draiden | Bronze III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | DeltaJulz613 | Silver III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Riptzer | Diamond II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | TramboneKing | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Amber I | Silver III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Xuffer | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Tricky | ROFFLE Tier | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| MID | sillyslother | Gold II | Silver III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Bronze I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Riptzer: ORDER ADC → ORDER MID
- Draiden: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- DeltaJulz613: CHAOS MID → ORDER ADC
- sillyslother: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS MID
- Xuffer: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS SUPPORT