05/04/2026 · Match #5 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/5/2026, 1:34:54 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 26:58
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2764355812?t=02h26m37s @ 8797s
Balance Analysis
Based on 104 prior matchesORDER
52% win prob
Δ 14
Balanced
CHAOS
48% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
sillyslother
OVR
Gold II
JUNGLE
Poo Poo I
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 82 · 62% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
JUNGLE
Gold I
ADC
Riptzer
OVR
Diamond II
ADC
Poo Poo II
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 28 · 54% favored
Tricky
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
Bronze II PLACEMENT
MID
Draiden
OVR
Bronze III PLACEMENT
MID
Bronze III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 6 · 51% favored
DeltaJulz613
OVR
Silver III
MID
Amber I
SOLO
TramboneKing
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber II PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 6 · 51% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze I
SOLO
Amber III
SUPPORT
[CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420
OVR
Amber I
SUPPORT
Silver III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 39 · 56% favored
Xuffer
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -18.1
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | sillyslother | Tsukuyomi | 4 | 7 | 5 | 73 | -5.0 | 68 | 58 |
| ADC THIRD | Riptzer | Ishtar | 1 | 7 | 10 | 123 | -2.4 | 120 | 70 |
| MID SECONDARY | Draiden C TOP DMG | Scylla | 7 | 3 | 7 | 21 | -0.7 | 21 | 3 |
| SOLO SECONDARY | TramboneKing | Vulcan | 1 | 11 | 3 | 6 | -6.2 | -1 | 5 |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Cupid | 3 | 12 | 6 | 16 | -3.7 | 12 | 27 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +31.2
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Da Ji | 15 | 2 | 14 | 139 | +8.9 | 148 | 104 |
| ADC | Tricky C | Kali | 7 | 6 | 11 | -37 | +1.9 | -35 | 22 |
| MID | DeltaJulz613 | Princess Bari | 9 | 2 | 14 | 38 | +6.9 | 45 | 32 |
| SOLO THIRD | Jonhy0700 | Thor | 9 | 2 | 16 | 30 | +8.1 | 38 | 96 |
| SUPPORT | Xuffer | Cerberus | 0 | 4 | 25 | -2 | +5.4 | 3 | 3 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Draiden | Bronze III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | DeltaJulz613 | Silver III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Riptzer | Diamond II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | TramboneKing | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Amber I | Silver III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Xuffer | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Tricky | ROFFLE Tier | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| MID | sillyslother | Gold II | Silver III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Bronze I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Riptzer: ORDER ADC → ORDER MID
- Draiden: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- DeltaJulz613: CHAOS MID → ORDER ADC
- sillyslother: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS MID
- Xuffer: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS SUPPORT