CHAOS WIN
05/04/2026 · Match #4 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/5/2026, 1:26:07 PM
Kills
15 – 39
MVP · best KDA
AlphaClaps 8/2/18
Biggest Elo gain
AlphaClaps +9.3
Biggest Elo drop
TramboneKing -7.1
Balance Analysis
Based on 103 prior matchesORDER
44% win prob
Δ 45
Lean CHAOS
CHAOS
56% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 5% Order / 95% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze I
JUNGLE
Amber II
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 64 · 59% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
JUNGLE
Gold II
ADC
IBre
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 7 · 51% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Diamond II
ADC
Poo Poo II
MID
TramboneKing
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 6 · 51% favored
DeltaJulz613
OVR
Bronze I
MID
Amber I
SOLO
Tricky
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 21 · 53% favored
AlphaClaps
OVR
Bronze III
SOLO
Amber II
SUPPORT
sillyslother
OVR
Gold I
SUPPORT
Gold II
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 35 · 55% favored
[CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420
OVR
Amber I
SUPPORT
Bronze I PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) 15 kills Team Δ -20.2
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 | 6/6/5 | 1.83 | 33 | ▼ -2.5 | 30 | 95 | |
| ADC NEW | IBre | 4/4/1 | 1.25 | 0 | ▼ -1.7 | -2 | 0 | |
| MID SECONDARY | TramboneKing C | 1/10/6 | 0.70 | 13 | ▼ -7.1 | 6 | 4 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | Tricky | 0/11/5 | 0.45 | -32 | ▼ -4.3 | -37 | 21 | |
| SUPPORT | sillyslother | 4/8/4 | 1.00 | 78 | ▼ -4.6 | 73 | 57 |
CHAOS (WIN) 39 kills Team Δ +26.1
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 15/3/10 | 8.33 | 134 | ▲ +5.6 | 139 | 103 | |
| ADC THIRD | Riptzer C | 2/4/8 | 2.50 | 121 | ▲ +1.6 | 123 | 69 | |
| MID | DeltaJulz613 | 9/3/14 | 7.67 | 33 | ▲ +5.0 | 38 | 31 | |
| SOLO | AlphaClaps MVP TOP DMG | 8/2/18 | 13.00 | 17 | ▲ +9.3 | 26 | 32 | |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | 5/3/13 | 6.00 | 11 | ▲ +4.7 | 16 | 26 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 2
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | TramboneKing | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Tricky | ROFFLE Tier | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| MID | AlphaClaps | Bronze III | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Bronze I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | IBre | rookie | |
| ADC | DeltaJulz613 | Bronze I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Riptzer | Diamond II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | sillyslother | Gold I | Gold I PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Amber I | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- TramboneKing: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- Jonhy0700: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SUPPORT
- Tricky: ORDER SOLO → ORDER ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- AlphaClaps: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER MID
- sillyslother: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SOLO
- IBre: ORDER ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Riptzer: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS MID
- DeltaJulz613: CHAOS MID → CHAOS ADC
Notes / Flags
- Tricky [shitter]: bad build couldnt play the game