05/04/2026 · Match #4 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/5/2026, 1:26:07 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 28:55
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2764355812?t=01h41m09s @ 6069s
Balance Analysis
Based on 103 prior matchesORDER
44% win prob
Δ 45
Lean CHAOS
CHAOS
56% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze I
JUNGLE
Amber II
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 64 · 59% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
JUNGLE
Gold II
ADC
IBre
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 7 · 51% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Diamond II
ADC
Poo Poo II
MID
TramboneKing
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 6 · 51% favored
DeltaJulz613
OVR
Bronze I
MID
Amber I
SOLO
Tricky
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 21 · 53% favored
AlphaClaps
OVR
Bronze III
SOLO
Amber II
SUPPORT
sillyslother
OVR
Gold I
SUPPORT
Gold II
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 35 · 55% favored
[CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420
OVR
Amber I
SUPPORT
Bronze I PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -20.2
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 | Awilix | 6 | 6 | 5 | 33 | -2.5 | 30 | 95 |
| ADC NEW | IBre | Jing Wei | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | -1.7 | -2 | 0 |
| MID SECONDARY | TramboneKing C | Kukulkan | 1 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -7.1 | 6 | 4 |
| SOLO SECONDARY | Tricky | Cernunnos | 0 | 11 | 5 | -32 | -4.3 | -37 | 21 |
| SUPPORT | sillyslother | Sobek | 4 | 8 | 4 | 78 | -4.6 | 73 | 57 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +26.1
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Apollo | 15 | 3 | 10 | 134 | +5.6 | 139 | 103 |
| ADC THIRD | Riptzer C | Agni | 2 | 4 | 8 | 121 | +1.6 | 123 | 69 |
| MID | DeltaJulz613 | Princess Bari | 9 | 3 | 14 | 33 | +5.0 | 38 | 31 |
| SOLO | AlphaClaps TOP DMG | Tsukuyomi | 8 | 2 | 18 | 17 | +9.3 | 26 | 32 |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Anubis | 5 | 3 | 13 | 11 | +4.7 | 16 | 26 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 2
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | TramboneKing | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Tricky | ROFFLE Tier | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| MID | AlphaClaps | Bronze III | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Bronze I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | IBre | rookie | |
| ADC | DeltaJulz613 | Bronze I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Riptzer | Diamond II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | sillyslother | Gold I | Gold I PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Amber I | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- TramboneKing: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- Jonhy0700: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SUPPORT
- Tricky: ORDER SOLO → ORDER ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- AlphaClaps: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER MID
- sillyslother: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SOLO
- IBre: ORDER ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Riptzer: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS MID
- DeltaJulz613: CHAOS MID → CHAOS ADC
Notes / Flags
- Tricky [shitter]: bad build couldnt play the game