CHAOS WIN
F6 by ORDER
UPSET
05/04/2026 · Match #3 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/5/2026, 1:16:01 PM
Kills
14 – 24
MVP · best KDA
Draiden 5/1/9
Biggest Elo gain
Draiden +16.5
Biggest Elo drop
DeltaJulz613 -13.1
Balance Analysis
Based on 102 prior matchesORDER
54% win prob
Δ 27
Lean ORDER
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
46% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 98% Order / 2% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Jonhy0700
OVR
Silver III
JUNGLE
Amber I
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 54 · 58% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond II
JUNGLE
Gold II
ADC
Riptzer
OVR
Diamond II
ADC
Poo Poo I
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 21 · 53% favored
Tricky
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
Bronze III PLACEMENT
MID
DeltaJulz613
OVR
Silver II
MID
Bronze II
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 24 · 53% favored
Draiden
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
AlphaClaps
OVR
Bronze III
SOLO
Amber I
EVEN
gap 7 · 51% favored
[CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420
OVR
Amber II
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
TramboneKing
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber I PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 14 · 52% favored
DAW00T
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) 14 kills Team Δ -26.0
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 C F6er | 4/5/4 | 1.60 | 37 | ▼ -4.2 | 33 | 94 | |
| ADC THIRD | Riptzer F6er | 2/7/3 | 0.71 | 126 | ▼ -4.9 | 121 | 68 | |
| MID | DeltaJulz613 F6er | 2/6/1 | 0.50 | 46 | ▼ -13.1 | 33 | 30 | |
| SOLO | AlphaClaps F6er | 4/2/2 | 3.00 | 19 | ▼ -2.4 | 17 | 31 | |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | TramboneKing F6er | 2/4/6 | 2.00 | 14 | ▼ -1.4 | 13 | 3 |
CHAOS (WIN) 24 kills Team Δ +32.4
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n STOMPER | 10/3/5 | 5.00 | 128 | ▲ +6.3 | 134 | 102 | |
| ADC | Tricky STOMPER | 6/3/2 | 2.67 | -36 | ▲ +3.6 | -32 | 20 | |
| MID NEW | Draiden MVP C TOP DMG STOMPER | 5/1/9 | 14.00 | 5 | ▲ +16.5 | 21 | 2 | |
| SOLO THIRD | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 STOMPER | 2/3/3 | 1.67 | 9 | ▲ +2.1 | 11 | 25 | |
| SUPPORT NEW | DAW00T STOMPER | 1/4/9 | 2.50 | 0 | ▲ +4.0 | 4 | 0 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | TramboneKing | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Tricky | ROFFLE Tier | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Draiden | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond II | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Amber II | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | DAW00T | rookie | |
| ADC | AlphaClaps | Bronze III | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
| MID | Riptzer | Diamond II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | DeltaJulz613 | Silver II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Silver III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- TramboneKing: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER JUNGLE
- [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Tricky: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- Draiden: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- Jonhy0700: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Riptzer: ORDER ADC → CHAOS MID
- AlphaClaps: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS ADC
- DeltaJulz613: ORDER MID → CHAOS SOLO
- DAW00T: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS JUNGLE