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04/16/2026 · Match #12 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED

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CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH

VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2747490036?t=1h8m22s @ 4102s

Balance Analysis

Based on 9 prior matches
ORDER
-5
49% win prob
Δ 6
Balanced
CHAOS
1
51% win prob

ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -77.8

RolePlayerGodKDA Elo BeforeΔElo AfterGames
JUNGLE Weak3n Princess Bari 17 8 12 27 -16.7 10 9
ADC NEW RogueThrone Hou Yi 11 7 6 16 -14.8 1 3
MID NEW DeltaJulz613 Merlin 9 7 19 -26 -17.3 -43 2
SOLO Jonhy0700 Thor 7 7 13 -40 -15.5 -56 8
SUPPORT NEW Radnor Ares 2 15 22 0 -13.5 -14 0

CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +79.4

RolePlayerGodKDA Elo BeforeΔElo AfterGames
JUNGLE NEW sillyslother Gilgamesh 14 13 11 18 +14.0 32 4
SUPPORT NEW iRoFFLe Ganesha 0 12 29 -12 +14.8 3 3
ADC NEW it is that easy Anhur 15 5 5 -3 +17.3 15 3
MID NEW i cant read Kukulkan 10 11 14 -25 +14.4 -10 2
SOLO KingSaber Hercules 5 5 20 28 +18.9 47 5

Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%

Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split

ORDER
1
51% win prob
Δ 6
most balanced split
CHAOS
-4
49% win prob

ORDER · optimal

RolePlayerElo
JUNGLE sillyslother 18
ADC it is that easy -3
MID DeltaJulz613 -26
SOLO KingSaber 28
SUPPORT iRoFFLe -12

CHAOS · optimal

RolePlayerElo
JUNGLE Weak3n 27
ADC RogueThrone 16
MID i cant read -25
SOLO Jonhy0700 -40
SUPPORT Radnor rookie

What changed vs actual draft