CHAOS WIN
05/03/2026 · Match #5 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/4/2026, 2:36:29 PM
Kills
24 – 33
MVP · best KDA
Riptzer 5/0/11
Biggest Elo gain
Riptzer +15.6
Biggest Elo drop
Giftie -7.6
Balance Analysis
Based on 98 prior matchesORDER
47% win prob
Δ 21
Balanced
CHAOS
53% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 97% Order / 3% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
JUNGLE
Gold II
MISMATCH — Order
gap 76 · 61% favored
sillyslother
OVR
Gold I
JUNGLE
Poo Poo II
ADC
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze II
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 66 · 59% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Bronze I
ADC
Bronze II
MID
Edgewing
OVR
Dog Shit I
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 34 · 55% favored
DeltaJulz613
OVR
Bronze I
MID
Amber I
SOLO
Giftie
OVR
Bronze I PLACEMENT
SOLO
Bronze I PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 48 · 57% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Diamond III
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
GTboss94
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber II PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 21 · 53% favored
[CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420
OVR
Amber II
SUPPORT
Bronze I PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) 24 kills Team Δ -25.6
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 8/5/9 | 3.40 | 132 | ▼ -2.9 | 129 | 98 | |
| ADC THIRD | Jonhy0700 | 9/7/3 | 1.71 | 22 | ▼ -2.6 | 20 | 90 | |
| MID THIRD | Edgewing | 3/7/8 | 1.57 | -16 | ▼ -6.6 | -22 | 18 | |
| SOLO | Giftie C | 2/4/3 | 1.25 | 29 | ▼ -7.6 | 22 | 7 | |
| SUPPORT | GTboss94 | 2/10/11 | 1.30 | -10 | ▼ -5.9 | -16 | 8 |
CHAOS (WIN) 33 kills Team Δ +28.2
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | sillyslother C TOP DMG | 6/8/10 | 2.00 | 76 | ▲ +1.8 | 78 | 56 | |
| ADC | Kryooo | 9/4/1 | 2.50 | 32 | ▲ +2.6 | 34 | 48 | |
| MID | DeltaJulz613 | 7/3/15 | 7.33 | 33 | ▲ +6.4 | 39 | 27 | |
| SOLO THIRD | Riptzer MVP | 5/0/11 | 16.00 | 113 | ▲ +15.6 | 128 | 64 | |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | 6/9/10 | 1.78 | 7 | ▲ +1.8 | 9 | 24 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Giftie | Bronze I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | DeltaJulz613 | Bronze I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Kryooo | Bronze I | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | GTboss94 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber II PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Amber II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Edgewing | Dog Shit I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Bronze II | Amber I |
| SOLO | sillyslother | Gold I | Gold I PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Diamond III | Diamond II |
What changed vs actual draft
- Giftie: ORDER SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Kryooo: CHAOS ADC → ORDER MID
- DeltaJulz613: CHAOS MID → ORDER ADC
- Edgewing: ORDER MID → CHAOS ADC
- Jonhy0700: ORDER ADC → CHAOS MID
- [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS JUNGLE
- sillyslother: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Riptzer: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS SUPPORT
Notes / Flags
- Edgewing [weak3n_said]: Im tired of you making your own builds