05/03/2026 · Match #4 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/4/2026, 2:19:26 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 24:28
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2763611684?t=02h42m49s @ 9769s
Balance Analysis
Based on 97 prior matchesORDER
54% win prob
Δ 25
Lean ORDER
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
46% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
JUNGLE
Gold I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 81 · 61% favored
sillyslother
OVR
Gold I
JUNGLE
Poo Poo II
ADC
[CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420
OVR
Amber I
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 15 · 52% favored
i cant read
OVR
Poo Poo III
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze II
MID
Bronze III
MISMATCH — Order
gap 69 · 60% favored
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
MID
ROFFLE Tier
SOLO
OneFruityDon
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 0 · 50% favored
Portdegree
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Edgewing
OVR
Poo Poo III
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 125 · 67% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Platinum II
SUPPORT
Diamond III
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -29.4
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Thor | 4 | 4 | 9 | 135 | -2.5 | 132 | 97 |
| ADC THIRD | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Cupid | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -3.3 | 7 | 23 |
| MID THIRD | Jonhy0700 | Scylla | 7 | 6 | 1 | 28 | -5.5 | 22 | 89 |
| SOLO NEW | OneFruityDon | Osiris | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | -15.2 | -15 | 0 |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | Edgewing C | Yemoja | 0 | 6 | 6 | -13 | -2.8 | -16 | 17 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +32.2
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | sillyslother TOP DMG | Tsukuyomi | 6 | 5 | 12 | 74 | +2.0 | 76 | 55 |
| ADC | i cant read C | Artemis | 3 | 6 | 10 | -10 | +1.9 | -8 | 12 |
| MID SECONDARY | RogueThrone | Nut | 5 | 6 | 11 | -128 | +1.9 | -126 | 63 |
| SOLO NEW | Portdegree | Hades | 12 | 1 | 7 | 0 | +10.4 | 10 | 0 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Sylvanus | 0 | 1 | 20 | 97 | +16.1 | 113 | 63 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | Poo Poo III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Edgewing | Poo Poo III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Amber I | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | OneFruityDon | rookie | |
| ADC | Portdegree | rookie | |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Bronze II | Bronze III |
| SOLO | sillyslother | Gold I | Gold I PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Platinum II | Diamond III |
What changed vs actual draft
- [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420: ORDER ADC → ORDER SUPPORT
- Edgewing: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- RogueThrone: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- i cant read: CHAOS ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- Jonhy0700: ORDER MID → CHAOS MID
- OneFruityDon: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
- sillyslother: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Portdegree: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS ADC
Notes / Flags
- Edgewing [shitter]: cant play yem
- OneFruityDon [weak3n_said]: you are 0 and 5 and completely fucking worthless
- OneFruityDon [shitter]: couldnt compete