04/13/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by TTMara on 4/25/2026, 3:39:22 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 38:10
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2747490036?t=0h18m6s @ 1086s
Balance Analysis
Based on 5 prior matchesORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
Balanced
CHAOS
50% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber II PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 8 · 51% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
InspectorCody
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 1 · 50% favored
it is that easy
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
[CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 5 · 51% favored
OSteg
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
RogueThrone
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 17 · 52% favored
KingSaber
OVR
Bronze III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Bronze III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
sillyslother
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 0 · 50% favored
SpideryBacchus9
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +30.0
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Apollo | 14 | 4 | 18 | 8 | +7.4 | 16 | 5 |
| ADC NEW | InspectorCody | Cernunnos | 4 | 8 | 11 | 0 | +1.8 | 2 | 0 |
| MID NEW | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 TOP DMG | Anubis | 15 | 6 | 19 | 0 | +5.3 | 5 | 0 |
| SOLO NEW | RogueThrone C | Osiris | 4 | 11 | 22 | 0 | +2.5 | 3 | 0 |
| SUPPORT NEW | sillyslother | Sobek | 13 | 3 | 24 | 0 | +13.0 | 13 | 0 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -30.0
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | Jonhy0700 | Hou Yi | 3 | 11 | 12 | -16 | -8.0 | -24 | 5 |
| ADC NEW | it is that easy | Rama | 9 | 10 | 5 | 1 | -6.9 | -6 | 2 |
| MID SECONDARY | OSteg C | Vulcan | 9 | 13 | 8 | 4 | -7.8 | -4 | 5 |
| SOLO NEW | KingSaber | Cabrakan | 9 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -3.0 | 14 | 2 |
| SUPPORT NEW | SpideryBacchus9 | Sylvanus | 2 | 10 | 16 | 0 | -4.3 | -4 | 0 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
49% win prob
Δ 9
most balanced split
CHAOS
51% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | InspectorCody | rookie | |
| ADC | KingSaber | Bronze III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Weak3n | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | rookie | |
| SUPPORT | RogueThrone | rookie | |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | sillyslother | rookie | |
| ADC | SpideryBacchus9 | rookie | |
| MID | it is that easy | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Jonhy0700 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | OSteg | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420: ORDER MID → ORDER SOLO
- InspectorCody: ORDER ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER MID
- RogueThrone: ORDER SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- KingSaber: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER ADC
- sillyslother: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS JUNGLE
- it is that easy: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS MID
- SpideryBacchus9: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS ADC
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- OSteg: CHAOS MID → CHAOS SUPPORT