04/16/2026 · Match #11 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2747490036?t=0h24m18s @ 1458s
Balance Analysis
Based on 8 prior matchesORDER
48% win prob
Δ 12
Balanced
CHAOS
52% win prob
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +93.9
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Apollo | 14 | 4 | 18 | 5 | +22.0 | 27 | 8 |
| SOLO NEW | RogueThrone | Osiris | 4 | 11 | 22 | 2 | +14.4 | 16 | 2 |
| SUPPORT NEW | sillyslother | Sobek | 13 | 3 | 24 | -7 | +24.8 | 18 | 3 |
| ADC NEW | InspectorCody | Cernunnos | 4 | 8 | 11 | 0 | +13.8 | 14 | 0 |
| MID NEW | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Anubis | 15 | 6 | 19 | 0 | +18.9 | 19 | 0 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -64.1
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADC NEW | it is that easy | Rama | 9 | 10 | 5 | 11 | -13.1 | -3 | 2 |
| SUPPORT NEW | SpideryBacchus9 | Sylvanus | 2 | 10 | 16 | 0 | -13.7 | -14 | 0 |
| SOLO NEW | KingSaber | Cabrakan | 9 | 6 | 11 | 43 | -15.7 | 28 | 4 |
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | Jonhy0700 | Hou Yi | 3 | 11 | 12 | -31 | -9.7 | -40 | 7 |
| MID SECONDARY | OSteg | Vulcan | 9 | 13 | 8 | 36 | -11.8 | 25 | 5 |
Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 3
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 5 |
| SOLO | RogueThrone | 2 |
| SUPPORT | sillyslother | -7 |
| ADC | InspectorCody | rookie |
| MID | OSteg | 36 |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 | -31 |
| SOLO | KingSaber | 43 |
| SUPPORT | SpideryBacchus9 | rookie |
| ADC | it is that easy | 11 |
| MID | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | rookie |
What changed vs actual draft
- OSteg: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID