04/01/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by TTMara on 4/24/2026, 9:31:05 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 36:16
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2737603624?t=3h10m30s @ 11430s
Balance Analysis
Based on 59 prior matchesORDER
55% win prob
Δ 36
Lean ORDER
CHAOS
45% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Jonhy0700
OVR
Silver III
JUNGLE
Poo Poo I
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 16 · 52% favored
AlphaClaps
OVR
Bronze II
JUNGLE
Amber I PLACEMENT
ADC
[CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 15 · 52% favored
Edgewing
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum II
MID
Platinum II
MISMATCH — Order
gap 93 · 63% favored
Tito
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Weak3n
OVR
Platinum II
SOLO
Platinum II PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Order
gap 78 · 61% favored
JohnRowing
OVR
Bronze III
SOLO
Amber I PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Jigann
OVR
Poo Poo II
SUPPORT
Amber III
EVEN
gap 4 · 51% favored
ItzStallone
OVR
Silver III
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +26.9
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 C | Thor | 7 | 8 | 12 | 40 | +3.7 | 43 | 57 |
| ADC THIRD | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Cupid | 8 | 10 | 11 | -1 | +2.9 | 2 | 9 |
| MID | Boolougames | Agni | 6 | 6 | 24 | 95 | +7.5 | 103 | 26 |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | Weak3n | Ratatoskr | 6 | 7 | 12 | 97 | +4.4 | 101 | 59 |
| SUPPORT | Jigann | Achilles | 12 | 5 | 14 | -8 | +8.5 | 0 | 14 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -18.7
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | AlphaClaps | Odin | 9 | 4 | 8 | 23 | -2.7 | 21 | 21 |
| ADC SECONDARY | Edgewing | Anhur | 4 | 6 | 10 | -41 | -2.7 | -43 | 10 |
| MID NEW | Tito TOP DMG | Merlin | 10 | 12 | 7 | 0 | -4.0 | -4 | 0 |
| SOLO | JohnRowing | Cabrakan | 10 | 11 | 7 | 18 | -7.8 | 10 | 10 |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | ItzStallone C | Ymir | 3 | 6 | 16 | 42 | -1.4 | 40 | 16 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | ItzStallone | Silver III | Silver I PLACEMENT |
| MID | Tito | rookie | |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Platinum II | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Silver III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Boolougames | Platinum II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Edgewing | ROFFLE Tier | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | AlphaClaps | Bronze II | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | JohnRowing | Bronze III | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jigann | Poo Poo II | Amber III |
What changed vs actual draft
- [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420: ORDER ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- Jonhy0700: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SUPPORT
- ItzStallone: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- Tito: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- Boolougames: ORDER MID → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Jigann: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SUPPORT
- AlphaClaps: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS MID