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04/01/2026 · Match #74 · Conquest CONFIRMED

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Confirmed by TTMara on 4/24/2026, 9:31:05 PM

ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 36:16

VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2737603624?t=3h10m30s @ 11430s

Balance Analysis

Based on 63 prior matches
ORDER
154
65% win prob
Δ 106
Favored
CHAOS
48
35% win prob

ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +65.3

RolePlayerGodKDA Elo BeforeΔElo AfterGames
SOLO OFF-ROLE Weak3n Ratatoskr 6 7 12 337 +14.6 352 63
SUPPORT Jigann Achilles 12 5 14 -61 +13.8 -47 18
ADC SECONDARY [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 Cupid 8 10 11 24 +11.1 35 9
JUNGLE SECONDARY Jonhy0700 C Thor 7 8 12 307 +12.3 320 60
MID Boolougames Agni 6 6 24 162 +13.6 175 27

CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -48.2

RolePlayerGodKDA Elo BeforeΔElo AfterGames
ADC THIRD Edgewing Anhur 4 6 10 -47 -8.8 -56 11
SUPPORT THIRD ItzStallone C Ymir 3 6 16 112 -10.0 102 16
JUNGLE SECONDARY AlphaClaps Odin 9 4 8 137 -11.6 126 21
SOLO OFF-ROLE JohnRowing Cabrakan 10 11 7 39 -7.2 32 10
MID NEW TeaToe TOP DMG Merlin 10 12 7 0 -10.6 -11 0

Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%

Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split

ORDER
97
49% win prob
Δ 9
most balanced split
CHAOS
106
51% win prob

ORDER · optimal

RolePlayerElo
SOLO JohnRowing 39
SUPPORT ItzStallone 112
ADC [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 24
JUNGLE Jonhy0700 307
MID TeaToe rookie

CHAOS · optimal

RolePlayerElo
SOLO Weak3n 337
SUPPORT Jigann -61
ADC Edgewing -47
JUNGLE AlphaClaps 137
MID Boolougames 162

What changed vs actual draft