04/24/2026 · Match #60 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: AGAINST
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2741800605?t=0h12m47s @ 767s
Balance Analysis
Based on 56 prior matchesORDER
54% win prob
Δ 27
Slight edge
CHAOS
46% win prob
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +96.4
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUPPORT | Jalopy | Bacchus | 5 | 2 | 15 | 47 | +18.7 | 66 | 6 |
| SOLO | AlphaClaps | Aladdin | 12 | 3 | 7 | 101 | +15.4 | 116 | 17 |
| ADC THIRD | i cant read | Cupid | 5 | 3 | 14 | -9 | +18.5 | 9 | 6 |
| JUNGLE THIRD | Jonhy0700 | Da Ji | 8 | 1 | 14 | 235 | +26.6 | 261 | 53 |
| MID NEW | TramboneKing | Vulcan | 3 | 2 | 14 | 0 | +17.3 | 17 | 0 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -49.7
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Artio | 0 | 5 | 2 | 323 | -10.1 | 313 | 56 |
| MID THIRD | RogueThrone | Merlin | 4 | 8 | 1 | -23 | -8.6 | -31 | 34 |
| SUPPORT | Jigann | Achilles | 2 | 6 | 4 | -49 | -10.6 | -59 | 13 |
| ADC NEW | ItsPeas | Jing Wei | 2 | 5 | 1 | -14 | -10.3 | -24 | 1 |
| SOLO NEW | HorrorsoftheDeep | Hua Mulan | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | -10.1 | -10 | 0 |
Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
52% win prob
Δ 11
most balanced split
CHAOS
48% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| SUPPORT | Jalopy | 47 |
| SOLO | HorrorsoftheDeep | rookie |
| ADC | ItsPeas | -14 |
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 323 |
| MID | RogueThrone | -23 |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| SUPPORT | Jigann | -49 |
| SOLO | AlphaClaps | 101 |
| ADC | i cant read | -9 |
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 | 235 |
| MID | TramboneKing | rookie |
What changed vs actual draft
- HorrorsoftheDeep: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SOLO
- ItsPeas: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER JUNGLE
- RogueThrone: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID