04/06/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 4/25/2026, 12:29:49 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 21:56
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2741800605?t=0h12m47s @ 767s
Balance Analysis
Based on 52 prior matchesORDER
51% win prob
Δ 8
Balanced
CHAOS
49% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze III
JUNGLE
Dog Shit III
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 92 · 63% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Platinum II
JUNGLE
Gold III
ADC
i cant read
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 8 · 51% favored
ItsPeas
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
TramboneKing
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 55 · 58% favored
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
AlphaClaps
OVR
Bronze III
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 1 · 50% favored
HorrorsoftheDeep
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Jalopy
OVR
Bronze III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber I PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 6 · 51% favored
Jigann
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +29.3
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 | Da Ji | 8 | 1 | 14 | 19 | +11.8 | 31 | 50 |
| ADC | i cant read | Cupid | 5 | 3 | 14 | -11 | +3.2 | -8 | 6 |
| MID NEW | TramboneKing | Vulcan | 3 | 2 | 14 | 0 | +4.4 | 4 | 0 |
| SOLO | AlphaClaps C TOP DMG | Aladdin | 12 | 3 | 7 | 19 | +3.3 | 22 | 17 |
| SUPPORT | Jalopy | Bacchus | 5 | 2 | 15 | 19 | +6.6 | 25 | 6 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -26.8
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Artio | 0 | 5 | 2 | 100 | -8.8 | 91 | 52 |
| ADC NEW | ItsPeas | Jing Wei | 2 | 5 | 1 | -5 | -2.5 | -7 | 1 |
| MID OFF-ROLE | RogueThrone | Merlin | 4 | 8 | 1 | -88 | -4.8 | -93 | 31 |
| SOLO NEW | HorrorsoftheDeep | Hua Mulan | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | -7.9 | -8 | 0 |
| SUPPORT | Jigann C | Achilles | 2 | 6 | 4 | -2 | -2.8 | -5 | 9 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | TramboneKing | rookie | |
| ADC | HorrorsoftheDeep | rookie | |
| MID | AlphaClaps | Bronze III | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Platinum II | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jigann | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| MID | ItsPeas | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Jalopy | Bronze III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Bronze III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- TramboneKing: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- AlphaClaps: ORDER SOLO → ORDER MID
- HorrorsoftheDeep: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Jigann: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- Jalopy: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SOLO
- Jonhy0700: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SUPPORT
- i cant read: ORDER ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
- ItsPeas: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS MID
- RogueThrone: CHAOS MID → CHAOS ADC