04/08/2026 · Match #4 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by TTMara on 4/25/2026, 2:40:01 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 28:48
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2743365522?t=2h49m51s @ 10191s
Balance Analysis
Based on 41 prior matchesORDER
48% win prob
Δ 15
Balanced
CHAOS
52% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Double Decker Donald
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 46 · 57% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Gold I
JUNGLE
Silver II
ADC
sillyslother
OVR
Gold II
ADC
Silver II PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 1 · 50% favored
ItzStallone
OVR
Bronze I
ADC
Silver II PLACEMENT
MID
Gambiinnoo
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 49 · 57% favored
Boolougames
OVR
Silver I
MID
Silver II
SOLO
JohnRowing
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber II PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 19 · 53% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Amber III
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
DeltaJulz613
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 9 · 51% favored
Jigann
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -17.5
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | Double Decker Donald | Da Ji | 3 | 6 | 8 | 0 | -1.9 | -2 | 0 |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | sillyslother | Artemis | 2 | 7 | 5 | 71 | -3.7 | 67 | 24 |
| MID NEW | Gambiinnoo | Poseidon | 2 | 11 | 5 | 0 | -5.5 | -6 | 0 |
| SOLO | JohnRowing C | Gilgamesh | 6 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -2.8 | 2 | 7 |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | DeltaJulz613 | Bacchus | 5 | 6 | 6 | -1 | -3.6 | -4 | 9 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +28.7
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Ratatoskr | 8 | 4 | 13 | 75 | +5.0 | 80 | 41 |
| ADC SECONDARY | ItzStallone | Apollo | 5 | 4 | 17 | 32 | +4.8 | 37 | 14 |
| MID | Boolougames | Janus | 5 | 3 | 11 | 49 | +5.0 | 54 | 13 |
| SOLO THIRD | Jonhy0700 TOP DMG | Agni | 7 | 2 | 11 | 3 | +9.1 | 12 | 39 |
| SUPPORT | Jigann C | Pele | 9 | 5 | 14 | -7 | +4.8 | -2 | 4 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Double Decker Donald | rookie | |
| ADC | ItzStallone | Bronze I | Silver II PLACEMENT |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Amber III | Bronze III |
| SOLO | sillyslother | Gold II | Gold II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | JohnRowing | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Gambiinnoo | rookie | |
| ADC | Boolougames | Silver I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Jigann | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Gold I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | DeltaJulz613 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- sillyslother: ORDER ADC → ORDER SOLO
- JohnRowing: ORDER SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER MID
- ItzStallone: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- Gambiinnoo: ORDER MID → CHAOS JUNGLE
- DeltaJulz613: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Boolougames: CHAOS MID → CHAOS ADC
- Jigann: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS MID