04/12/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by TTMara on 4/25/2026, 3:12:05 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 31:52
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2746720725?t=0h10m37s @ 637s
Balance Analysis
Based on 29 prior matchesORDER
47% win prob
Δ 22
Balanced
CHAOS
53% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 22 · 53% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Amber III
JUNGLE
Dog Shit II
ADC
InspectorCody
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 2 · 50% favored
AlphaClaps
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
[CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 12 · 52% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Silver II
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
JohnRowing
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 3 · 50% favored
Saylixe
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Ryn Is Valid
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 0 · 50% favored
Ceart
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -21.6
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | RogueThrone | Tsukuyomi | 7 | 9 | 10 | -73 | -2.8 | -76 | 20 |
| ADC NEW | InspectorCody C | Nut | 2 | 6 | 7 | 2 | -7.9 | -6 | 1 |
| MID | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Xbalanque | 7 | 5 | 12 | 5 | -2.8 | 3 | 6 |
| SOLO NEW | JohnRowing TOP DMG | Cabrakan | 9 | 5 | 4 | -3 | -4.4 | -7 | 1 |
| SUPPORT NEW | Ryn Is Valid | Bacchus | 3 | 10 | 9 | 0 | -3.7 | -4 | 0 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +28.1
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | Jonhy0700 | Odin | 7 | 8 | 11 | 2 | +2.9 | 5 | 29 |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | AlphaClaps | Rama | 10 | 5 | 12 | 15 | +5.8 | 21 | 8 |
| MID OFF-ROLE | Weak3n | Vulcan | 11 | 6 | 7 | 48 | +4.1 | 52 | 29 |
| SOLO NEW | Saylixe | Nemesis | 4 | 2 | 10 | 0 | +10.2 | 10 | 0 |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | Ceart C | Sobek | 3 | 7 | 18 | -25 | +5.2 | -20 | 3 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | InspectorCody | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Ryn Is Valid | rookie | |
| MID | AlphaClaps | Amber I PLACEMENT | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Ceart | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Amber II PLACEMENT | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | JohnRowing | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | ROFFLE Tier |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Amber III | Bronze III |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Silver II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Saylixe | rookie | |
What changed vs actual draft
- [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420: ORDER MID → ORDER SUPPORT
- InspectorCody: ORDER ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- Ryn Is Valid: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- Ceart: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SOLO
- AlphaClaps: CHAOS ADC → ORDER MID
- RogueThrone: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS ADC
- JohnRowing: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Saylixe: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Weak3n: CHAOS MID → CHAOS SOLO
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS MID