04/23/2026 · Match #35 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2746720725?t=0h21m49s @ 1309s
Balance Analysis
Based on 32 prior matchesORDER
41% win prob
Δ 60
Slight edge
CHAOS
59% win prob
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -57.0
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADC | RogueThrone | Tsukuyomi | 7 | 9 | 10 | -33 | -11.7 | -44 | 22 |
| JUNGLE NEW | InspectorCody | Nut | 2 | 6 | 7 | 14 | -11.2 | 3 | 1 |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Xbalanque | 7 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -10.5 | 11 | 6 |
| MID NEW | JohnRowing | Cabrakan | 9 | 5 | 4 | -17 | -12.7 | -29 | 1 |
| SOLO NEW | Ryn Is Valid | Bacchus | 3 | 10 | 9 | 0 | -10.8 | -11 | 0 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +74.9
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | Weak3n | Vulcan | 11 | 6 | 7 | 120 | +14.5 | 135 | 32 |
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | AlphaClaps | Rama | 10 | 5 | 12 | 61 | +16.5 | 78 | 8 |
| ADC | Jonhy0700 | Odin | 7 | 8 | 11 | 144 | +12.2 | 156 | 31 |
| SOLO NEW | Ceart | Sobek | 3 | 7 | 18 | -41 | +13.2 | -28 | 3 |
| MID NEW | Saylixe | Nemesis | 4 | 2 | 10 | 0 | +18.4 | 18 | 0 |
Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| ADC | Jonhy0700 | 144 |
| JUNGLE | InspectorCody | 14 |
| SUPPORT | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | 21 |
| MID | Saylixe | rookie |
| SOLO | Ceart | -41 |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| ADC | RogueThrone | -33 |
| JUNGLE | AlphaClaps | 61 |
| SUPPORT | Weak3n | 120 |
| MID | JohnRowing | -17 |
| SOLO | Ryn Is Valid | rookie |
What changed vs actual draft
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- Saylixe: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- Ceart: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SOLO