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04/21/2026 · Match #27 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED

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ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH

VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2752364079?t=1h1m55s @ 3715s

Balance Analysis

Based on 24 prior matches
ORDER
47
54% win prob
Δ 26
Slight edge
CHAOS
21
46% win prob

ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +71.7

RolePlayerGodKDA Elo BeforeΔElo AfterGames
JUNGLE Weak3n Susano 9 11 13 92 +13.0 105 24
MID ItzStallone Hou Yi 12 7 14 89 +15.3 104 6
SOLO NEW AlphaClaps Ra 13 6 9 48 +15.3 64 4
ADC NEW [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 Ne Zha 5 9 30 -19 +15.6 -4 4
SUPPORT NEW Blhyss Bellona 4 11 15 27 +12.6 40 1

CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -70.1

RolePlayerGodKDA Elo BeforeΔElo AfterGames
ADC RogueThrone Cupid 4 14 13 -7 -11.9 -19 17
JUNGLE THIRD sillyslother Odin 7 8 24 78 -12.9 65 15
SUPPORT OFF-ROLE Jonhy0700 Hun Batz 10 10 15 46 -10.1 36 23
SOLO NEW Mid Cabrakan 12 4 12 -12 -18.4 -30 1
MID NEW JohnRowing Athena 11 7 22 0 -16.7 -17 0

Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%

Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split

ORDER
33
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
35
50% win prob

ORDER · optimal

RolePlayerElo
JUNGLE Weak3n 92
MID JohnRowing rookie
SOLO AlphaClaps 48
ADC [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 -19
SUPPORT Jonhy0700 46

CHAOS · optimal

RolePlayerElo
JUNGLE sillyslother 78
MID ItzStallone 89
SOLO Mid -12
ADC RogueThrone -7
SUPPORT Blhyss 27

What changed vs actual draft

Notes / Flags