04/21/2026 · Match #27 · Conquest UNCONFIRMED
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2752364079?t=1h1m55s @ 3715s
Balance Analysis
Based on 24 prior matchesORDER
54% win prob
Δ 26
Slight edge
CHAOS
46% win prob
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +71.7
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Susano | 9 | 11 | 13 | 92 | +13.0 | 105 | 24 |
| MID | ItzStallone | Hou Yi | 12 | 7 | 14 | 89 | +15.3 | 104 | 6 |
| SOLO NEW | AlphaClaps | Ra | 13 | 6 | 9 | 48 | +15.3 | 64 | 4 |
| ADC NEW | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Ne Zha | 5 | 9 | 30 | -19 | +15.6 | -4 | 4 |
| SUPPORT NEW | Blhyss | Bellona | 4 | 11 | 15 | 27 | +12.6 | 40 | 1 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -70.1
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Elo Before | Δ | Elo After | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADC | RogueThrone | Cupid | 4 | 14 | 13 | -7 | -11.9 | -19 | 17 |
| JUNGLE THIRD | sillyslother | Odin | 7 | 8 | 24 | 78 | -12.9 | 65 | 15 |
| SUPPORT OFF-ROLE | Jonhy0700 | Hun Batz | 10 | 10 | 15 | 46 | -10.1 | 36 | 23 |
| SOLO NEW | Mid | Cabrakan | 12 | 4 | 12 | -12 | -18.4 | -30 | 1 |
| MID NEW | JohnRowing | Athena | 11 | 7 | 22 | 0 | -16.7 | -17 | 0 |
Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 92 |
| MID | JohnRowing | rookie |
| SOLO | AlphaClaps | 48 |
| ADC | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | -19 |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | 46 |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Elo |
|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | sillyslother | 78 |
| MID | ItzStallone | 89 |
| SOLO | Mid | -12 |
| ADC | RogueThrone | -7 |
| SUPPORT | Blhyss | 27 |
What changed vs actual draft
- JohnRowing: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
Notes / Flags
- ItzStallone [weak3n_said]: That's My DUO!!!! (Died before 1:30)
- [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 [weak3n_said]: That's My DUO!!!! (Died before 1:30)