04/19/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by TTMara on 4/25/2026, 7:15:02 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 42:17
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2752364079?t=0h54m18s @ 3258s
Balance Analysis
Based on 21 prior matchesORDER
53% win prob
Δ 22
Balanced
CHAOS
47% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Silver II
JUNGLE
Bronze II
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 45 · 56% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Poo Poo II
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
ItzStallone
OVR
Silver III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 19 · 53% favored
RogueThrone
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
Dog Shit I
MID
AlphaClaps
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 0 · 50% favored
Imdead
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Blhyss
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber I PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 11 · 52% favored
JohnRowing
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
[CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 25 · 54% favored
sillyslother
OVR
Silver II
SUPPORT
Bronze II PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +28.1
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Susano | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | +3.4 | 46 | 21 |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | ItzStallone C | Hou Yi | 12 | 7 | 14 | 38 | +6.3 | 44 | 6 |
| MID OFF-ROLE | AlphaClaps TOP DMG | Ra | 13 | 6 | 9 | 15 | +6.4 | 21 | 4 |
| SOLO NEW | Blhyss | Bellona | 4 | 11 | 15 | 11 | +3.3 | 15 | 1 |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Ne Zha | 5 | 9 | 30 | -10 | +8.6 | -1 | 4 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -28.1
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | Jonhy0700 C | Hun Batz | 10 | 10 | 15 | -10 | -6.2 | -16 | 21 |
| ADC | RogueThrone | Cupid | 4 | 14 | 13 | -44 | -13.1 | -57 | 15 |
| MID NEW | Imdead | Cabrakan | 12 | 4 | 12 | -3 | -2.5 | -6 | 1 |
| SOLO NEW | JohnRowing | Athena | 11 | 7 | 22 | 0 | -3.0 | -3 | 0 |
| SUPPORT | sillyslother | Odin | 7 | 8 | 24 | 44 | -3.2 | 40 | 12 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Blhyss | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | RogueThrone | ROFFLE Tier | Dog Shit I |
| MID | Imdead | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | sillyslother | Silver II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | AlphaClaps | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| ADC | JohnRowing | rookie | |
| MID | Jonhy0700 | Poo Poo II | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Silver II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | ItzStallone | Silver III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Blhyss: ORDER SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- Imdead: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- RogueThrone: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- sillyslother: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SOLO
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- AlphaClaps: ORDER MID → CHAOS JUNGLE
- ItzStallone: ORDER ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS MID
- JohnRowing: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS ADC
Notes / Flags
- [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 [weak3n_said]: That's My DUO!!!! (Died before 1:30)
- ItzStallone [weak3n_said]: That's My DUO!!!! (Died before 1:30)