ORDER WIN
08/12/2026 · Match #9 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 8/14/2026, 4:56:47 PM
Kills
48 – 27
MVP · best KDA
Weak3n 11/4/18
Biggest Elo gain
Lonelywolf26951 +6.8
Biggest Elo drop
Spoon -5.3
Balance Analysis
Based on 242 prior matchesORDER
54% win prob
Δ 31
Lean ORDER
CHAOS
46% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 8% Order / 92% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Lonelywolf26951
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 5 · 51% favored
v Riddler v
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Shmeep
OVR
Dog Shit II
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 48 · 57% favored
i cant read
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MID
Weak3n
OVR
Obsidian II
MID
Bronze II
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 25 · 54% favored
ForeverNeoo
OVR
Amber I
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Jones3Gaming
OVR
Amber III
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 0 · 50% favored
Spoon
OVR
Amber II
SOLO
Amber III
SUPPORT
iRoFFLe
OVR
Poo Poo I
SUPPORT
Bronze I
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 19 · 53% favored
Jdood2000
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber II PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) 48 kills Team Δ +27.3
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | Lonelywolf26951 | 18/4/10 | 7.00 | -5 | ▲ +6.8 | 2 | 1 | |
| ADC SECONDARY | Shmeep TOP DMG | 15/4/8 | 5.75 | -25 | ▲ +5.8 | -19 | 22 | |
| MID THIRD | Weak3n MVP | 11/4/18 | 7.25 | 162 | ▲ +6.7 | 169 | 242 | |
| SOLO | Jones3Gaming | 1/8/21 | 2.75 | 2 | ▲ +3.1 | 6 | 12 | |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | 3/7/25 | 4.00 | 0 | ▲ +5.0 | 5 | 70 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 27 kills Team Δ -20.3
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | v Riddler v | 1/10/12 | 1.30 | 9 | ▼ -3.9 | 5 | 2 | |
| ADC | i cant read | 11/9/7 | 2.00 | -57 | ▼ -4.5 | -62 | 88 | |
| MID SECONDARY | ForeverNeoo | 10/11/6 | 1.45 | 14 | ▼ -3.1 | 11 | 25 | |
| SOLO | Spoon | 4/10/12 | 1.60 | 8 | ▼ -5.3 | 3 | 26 | |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | Jdood2000 | 1/8/15 | 2.00 | 5 | ▼ -3.5 | 1 | 4 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 2
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | ROFFLE Tier | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Lonelywolf26951 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Shmeep | Dog Shit II | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Obsidian II | Platinum I PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jones3Gaming | Amber III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | v Riddler v | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | ForeverNeoo | Amber I | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| MID | Spoon | Amber II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Jdood2000 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Poo Poo I | Bronze I |
What changed vs actual draft
- Shmeep: ORDER ADC → ORDER MID
- Weak3n: ORDER MID → ORDER SOLO
- Jones3Gaming: ORDER SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- Lonelywolf26951: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER ADC
- i cant read: CHAOS ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- iRoFFLe: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Spoon: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS MID
- ForeverNeoo: CHAOS MID → CHAOS ADC
- Jdood2000: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS SOLO