CHAOS WIN
08/12/2026 · Match #7 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 8/14/2026, 4:45:33 PM
Kills
29 – 42
MVP · best KDA
Jigann 7/2/25
Biggest Elo gain
Jigann +16.6
Biggest Elo drop
i cant read -5.8
Balance Analysis
Based on 240 prior matchesORDER
46% win prob
Δ 25
Balanced
CHAOS
54% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 0% Order / 100% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
httpsfroggy
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber II PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 58 · 58% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Obsidian III
JUNGLE
Gold II
ADC
i cant read
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 66 · 59% favored
Ultima
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber I PLACEMENT
MID
ForeverNeoo
OVR
Bronze III
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 0 · 50% favored
C1prY
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Kryooo
OVR
Obsidian I
SOLO
Gold II PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 21 · 53% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Platinum II
SOLO
Platinum III
SUPPORT
Horrify
OVR
Silver III
SUPPORT
Amber III
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 53 · 58% favored
Jigann
OVR
Gold III
SUPPORT
Silver I
ORDER (LOSS) 29 kills Team Δ -19.2
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | httpsfroggy TOP DMG | 12/10/5 | 1.70 | 13 | ▼ -2.7 | 10 | 3 | |
| ADC | i cant read | 5/7/7 | 1.71 | -52 | ▼ -5.8 | -57 | 87 | |
| MID SECONDARY | ForeverNeoo | 5/9/8 | 1.44 | 17 | ▼ -3.4 | 14 | 24 | |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | Kryooo | 1/6/9 | 1.67 | 177 | ▼ -2.5 | 175 | 113 | |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | Horrify C | 6/10/12 | 1.80 | 42 | ▼ -4.7 | 37 | 54 |
CHAOS (WIN) 42 kills Team Δ +27.9
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 9/10/10 | 1.90 | 150 | ▲ +1.7 | 152 | 240 | |
| ADC SECONDARY | Ultima | 5/5/13 | 3.60 | 13 | ▲ +2.8 | 16 | 4 | |
| MID NEW | C1prY | 14/6/16 | 5.00 | 0 | ▲ +4.2 | 5 | 2 | |
| SOLO THIRD | Jonhy0700 C | 7/6/11 | 3.00 | 99 | ▲ +2.6 | 102 | 175 | |
| SUPPORT | Jigann MVP | 7/2/25 | 16.00 | 59 | ▲ +16.6 | 75 | 39 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | httpsfroggy | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Ultima | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| MID | Kryooo | Obsidian I | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Horrify | Silver III | Silver III |
| SUPPORT | ForeverNeoo | Bronze III | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | ROFFLE Tier | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Jigann | Gold III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | C1prY | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Obsidian III | Platinum I PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Platinum II | Amber II PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Kryooo: ORDER SOLO → ORDER MID
- Horrify: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER SOLO
- ForeverNeoo: ORDER MID → ORDER SUPPORT
- Ultima: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- i cant read: ORDER ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Jigann: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS ADC