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04/19/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest CONFIRMED

Edit

Confirmed by Jalopy on 4/24/2026, 9:52:38 PM

CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 21:37

VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2752364079?t=0h28m2s @ 1682s

Balance Analysis

Based on 20 prior matches

ORDER

54% win prob

Δ 26

Lean ORDER UPSET — underdog won

CHAOS

-7

46% win prob

Lane Matchups

Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.

JUNGLE

Weak3n

OVR Silver II

JUNGLE Bronze I

CLEAR EDGE — Order gap 50 · 57% favored

Jonhy0700

OVR Poo Poo III

JUNGLE Amber III PLACEMENT

ADC

Edgewing

OVR Amber III PLACEMENT

ADC Amber III PLACEMENT

SLIGHT EDGE — Order gap 25 · 54% favored

RogueThrone

OVR ROFFLE Tier

ADC Amber III PLACEMENT

MID

[CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420

OVR Amber III PLACEMENT

MID Amber III PLACEMENT

SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos gap 18 · 53% favored

ItzStallone

OVR Bronze II PLACEMENT

MID Bronze III PLACEMENT

SOLO

Grease.

OVR Amber I PLACEMENT

SOLO Amber I PLACEMENT

SLIGHT EDGE — Order gap 14 · 52% favored

Blhyss

OVR Amber III PLACEMENT

SOLO Amber III PLACEMENT

SUPPORT

sillyslother

OVR Silver II

SUPPORT Bronze I PLACEMENT

CLEAR EDGE — Order gap 30 · 54% favored

Jalopy

OVR Amber III PLACEMENT

SUPPORT Amber III PLACEMENT

ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -23.6

Role	Player	God	K	D	A	Before	Δ	After	GP
JUNGLE	Weak3n	Thor	4	6	8	46	-4.0	42	20
ADC NEW	Edgewing	Anhur	3	9	3	-12	-5.9	-17	1
MID	[CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420	Anubis	2	5	3	-2	-8.0	-10	3
SOLO SECONDARY	Grease. C	Cabrakan	1	4	4	14	-2.8	11	4
SUPPORT SECONDARY	sillyslother	Yemoja	4	4	6	47	-2.9	44	11

CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +32.3

Role	Player	God	K	D	A	Before	Δ	After	GP
JUNGLE SECONDARY	Jonhy0700	Loki	2	6	9	-12	+1.9	-10	20
ADC	RogueThrone C	Hou Yi	10	2	7	-50	+6.2	-44	14
MID	ItzStallone TOP DMG	Nut	10	0	4	27	+10.3	38	5
SOLO NEW	Blhyss	Achilles	5	1	10	0	+11.3	11	0
SUPPORT NEW	Jalopy	Baron Samedi	1	5	13	-3	+2.6	0	1

Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers

Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split

ORDER

50% win prob

Δ 0

most balanced split

CHAOS

50% win prob

ORDER · optimal

Role	Player	Overall	In Role
JUNGLE	[CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420	Amber III PLACEMENT	Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC	RogueThrone	ROFFLE Tier	Amber III PLACEMENT
MID	Jonhy0700	Poo Poo III	Amber II PLACEMENT
SOLO	Grease.	Amber I PLACEMENT	Amber I PLACEMENT
SUPPORT	ItzStallone	Bronze II PLACEMENT	Amber III PLACEMENT

CHAOS · optimal

Role	Player	Overall	In Role
JUNGLE	Edgewing	Amber III PLACEMENT	Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC	sillyslother	Silver II	Silver II PLACEMENT
MID	Jalopy	Amber III PLACEMENT	Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO	Weak3n	Silver II	Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT	Blhyss	rookie

What changed vs actual draft

[CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
Jonhy0700: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER MID
RogueThrone: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
ItzStallone: CHAOS MID → ORDER SUPPORT
Edgewing: ORDER ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
sillyslother: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS ADC
Blhyss: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS SUPPORT
Jalopy: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS MID

Notes / Flags

[CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 [weak3n_said]: Don't Clear Wave come right to Oracles or Purple
Edgewing [weak3n_said]: Stop Thinking, Every Time you think its wrong
Edgewing [weak3n_said]: If I'm going in Low, you can Also go In Low He can't kill both of us
Edgewing [weak3n_said]: STOP DOING Too MUCH just fucking AUTO BROTHER
Edgewing [weak3n_said]: Jumping in before I show up is Kinda Troll I ain't going to lie
Edgewing [shitter]: Time to Retire, If you're not playing your two main gods wrap it up
RogueThrone [weak3n_said]: You turned around and started S keying; I Don't think he knows that is slower