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04/19/2026 · Match #26 · Conquest CONFIRMED

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Confirmed by Jalopy on 4/24/2026, 9:52:38 PM

CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH

VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2752364079?t=0h28m2s @ 1682s

Balance Analysis

Based on 23 prior matches
ORDER
52
56% win prob
Δ 44
Slight edge UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
8
44% win prob

ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -69.9

RolePlayerGodKDA Elo BeforeΔElo AfterGames
JUNGLE Weak3n Thor 4 6 8 106 -14.4 92 23
ADC NEW Edgewing Anhur 3 9 3 4 -12.8 -9 2
SUPPORT sillyslother Yemoja 4 4 6 93 -15.0 78 14
SOLO NEW Grease. C Cabrakan 1 4 4 61 -14.4 47 4
MID NEW [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 Anubis 2 5 3 -6 -13.2 -19 3

CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +114.5

RolePlayerGodKDA Elo BeforeΔElo AfterGames
ADC RogueThrone C Hou Yi 10 2 7 -31 +23.2 -7 16
SUPPORT NEW Jalopy Baron Samedi 1 5 13 -16 +15.4 0 1
MID SECONDARY ItzStallone TOP DMG Nut 10 0 4 59 +29.7 89 5
JUNGLE OFF-ROLE Jonhy0700 Loki 2 6 9 27 +19.2 46 22
SOLO NEW Blhyss Achilles 5 1 10 0 +27.0 27 0

Elo: K=32 base · off-role wins boosted, off-role losses softened · stomps (F6) +25%

Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split

ORDER
30
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
30
50% win prob

ORDER · optimal

RolePlayerElo
JUNGLE Jonhy0700 27
ADC RogueThrone -31
SUPPORT sillyslother 93
SOLO Blhyss rookie
MID ItzStallone 59

CHAOS · optimal

RolePlayerElo
JUNGLE Weak3n 106
ADC Edgewing 4
SUPPORT Jalopy -16
SOLO Grease. 61
MID [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 -6

What changed vs actual draft

Notes / Flags