ORDER WIN
08/12/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 8/14/2026, 3:56:54 PM
Kills
32 – 12
MVP · best KDA
i cant read 13/1/4
Biggest Elo gain
i cant read +11.1
Biggest Elo drop
Futuresnoow -14.1
Balance Analysis
Based on 235 prior matchesORDER
51% win prob
Δ 8
Balanced
CHAOS
49% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 8% Order / 92% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
httpsfroggy
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 0 · 50% favored
Heat
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber II PLACEMENT
ADC
i cant read
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 58 · 58% favored
Futuresnoow
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
MID
Bronze III
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 18 · 53% favored
Skpye Sesh
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
x2godx
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 0 · 50% favored
ForeverNeoo
OVR
Amber I
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
iRoFFLe
OVR
Poo Poo I
SUPPORT
Bronze II
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 11 · 52% favored
MrUMS
OVR
Bronze III
SUPPORT
Amber I PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) 32 kills Team Δ +29.3
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | httpsfroggy | 10/4/8 | 4.50 | 5 | ▲ +2.7 | 7 | 1 | |
| ADC | i cant read MVP TOP DMG | 13/1/4 | 17.00 | -53 | ▲ +11.1 | -42 | 82 | |
| MID THIRD | Weak3n | 4/3/9 | 4.33 | 141 | ▲ +2.5 | 144 | 235 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | x2godx | 2/2/11 | 6.50 | -5 | ▲ +4.4 | 0 | 4 | |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | 3/2/20 | 11.50 | -3 | ▲ +8.8 | 6 | 68 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 12 kills Team Δ -25.1
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | Heat | 6/5/2 | 1.60 | 11 | ▼ -1.3 | 10 | 3 | |
| ADC NEW | Futuresnoow | 0/8/2 | 0.25 | 3 | ▼ -14.1 | -11 | 1 | |
| MID NEW | Skpye Sesh | 3/6/5 | 1.33 | 0 | ▼ -3.4 | -3 | 0 | |
| SOLO | ForeverNeoo | 2/3/2 | 1.33 | 15 | ▼ -3.3 | 12 | 21 | |
| SUPPORT THIRD | MrUMS | 1/10/5 | 0.60 | 18 | ▼ -2.9 | 15 | 10 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | ROFFLE Tier | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | MrUMS | Bronze III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Skpye Sesh | rookie | |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | ForeverNeoo | Amber I | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | httpsfroggy | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Heat | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | x2godx | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Futuresnoow | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Poo Poo I | Bronze II |
What changed vs actual draft
- Weak3n: ORDER MID → ORDER SOLO
- i cant read: ORDER ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- MrUMS: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- ForeverNeoo: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- Skpye Sesh: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- iRoFFLe: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SUPPORT
- x2godx: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS MID
- httpsfroggy: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Heat: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS ADC
- Futuresnoow: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SOLO
Notes / Flags
- Futuresnoow [shitter]: 4k dmg