ORDER WIN
08/10/2026 · Match #6 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 8/14/2026, 3:15:37 PM
Kills
36 – 36
MVP · best KDA
Jigann 2/4/26
Biggest Elo gain
Jigann +11.9
Biggest Elo drop
latric -6.0
Balance Analysis
Based on 231 prior matchesORDER
56% win prob
Δ 45
Lean ORDER
CHAOS
44% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 100% Order / 0% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Jones3Gaming
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 5 · 51% favored
latric
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Jdood2000
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 41 · 56% favored
i cant read
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MID
Weak3n
OVR
Obsidian III
MID
Amber I
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 16 · 52% favored
ScoobySnaccs
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Shmeep
OVR
Dog Shit I
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 22 · 53% favored
SfGothams
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Jigann
OVR
Silver I
SUPPORT
Silver II
EVEN
gap 9 · 51% favored
iRoFFLe
OVR
Amber II
SUPPORT
Silver III
ORDER (WIN) 36 kills Team Δ +26.2
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE THIRD | Jones3Gaming | 11/10/14 | 2.50 | -2 | ▲ +3.1 | 2 | 8 | |
| ADC NEW | Jdood2000 | 8/6/14 | 3.67 | 9 | ▲ +4.4 | 14 | 1 | |
| MID OFF-ROLE | Weak3n TOP DMG | 11/7/14 | 3.57 | 143 | ▲ +4.5 | 147 | 231 | |
| SOLO | Shmeep | 4/9/11 | 1.67 | -19 | ▲ +2.3 | -17 | 20 | |
| SUPPORT | Jigann MVP | 2/4/26 | 7.00 | 52 | ▲ +11.9 | 64 | 35 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 36 kills Team Δ -21.0
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | latric | 5/7/15 | 2.86 | 0 | ▼ -6.0 | -6 | 0 | |
| ADC | i cant read | 18/7/9 | 3.86 | -40 | ▼ -3.9 | -43 | 80 | |
| MID NEW | ScoobySnaccs | 6/7/13 | 2.71 | -5 | ▼ -3.1 | -8 | 2 | |
| SOLO NEW | SfGothams | 3/6/17 | 3.33 | -4 | ▼ -2.1 | -6 | 1 | |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | 4/9/16 | 2.22 | 8 | ▼ -5.9 | 2 | 66 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | SfGothams | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Jigann | Silver I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Shmeep | Dog Shit I | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Jdood2000 | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | ScoobySnaccs | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | ROFFLE Tier | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Jones3Gaming | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | latric | rookie | |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Obsidian III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | iRoFFLe | Amber II | Silver III |
What changed vs actual draft
- Shmeep: ORDER SOLO → ORDER MID
- Jigann: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- Jdood2000: ORDER ADC → ORDER SOLO
- ScoobySnaccs: CHAOS MID → ORDER SUPPORT
- SfGothams: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- Weak3n: ORDER MID → CHAOS SOLO
- Jones3Gaming: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS ADC
- i cant read: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
- latric: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS MID