ORDER WIN
08/10/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 8/11/2026, 1:13:04 PM
Kills
51 – 46
MVP · best KDA
Jigann 10/6/22
Biggest Elo gain
Jigann +9.1
Biggest Elo drop
TwoEyedPrince -10.7
Balance Analysis
Based on 226 prior matchesORDER
55% win prob
Δ 36
Lean ORDER
CHAOS
45% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 42% Order / 58% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
JUNGLE
Gold I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 64 · 59% favored
OSteg
OVR
Bronze I
JUNGLE
Amber I PLACEMENT
ADC
ForeverNeoo
OVR
Amber III
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 0 · 50% favored
TwoEyedPrince
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
ItzStallone
OVR
Gold I
MID
Silver I
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 50 · 57% favored
Malenia
OVR
Amber III
MID
Amber II
SOLO
Shmeep
OVR
Poo Poo I
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 60 · 59% favored
Horrify
OVR
Silver II
SOLO
Silver II
SUPPORT
Jigann
OVR
Silver II
SUPPORT
Silver III
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 38 · 55% favored
SfGothams
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) 51 kills Team Δ +26.9
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 8/8/26 | 4.25 | 142 | ▲ +6.0 | 148 | 226 | |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | ForeverNeoo | 18/10/15 | 3.30 | 3 | ▲ +5.0 | 8 | 14 | |
| MID | ItzStallone | 10/12/19 | 2.42 | 77 | ▲ +3.5 | 80 | 44 | |
| SOLO | Shmeep | 5/10/15 | 2.00 | -2 | ▲ +3.3 | 2 | 15 | |
| SUPPORT | Jigann MVP | 10/6/22 | 5.33 | 44 | ▲ +9.1 | 53 | 30 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 46 kills Team Δ -25.1
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | OSteg | 18/8/15 | 4.13 | 33 | ▼ -1.8 | 32 | 104 | |
| ADC NEW | TwoEyedPrince | 7/14/14 | 1.50 | 0 | ▼ -10.7 | -11 | 0 | |
| MID | Malenia TOP DMG | 12/12/22 | 2.83 | 3 | ▼ -5.4 | -3 | 15 | |
| SOLO | Horrify | 4/7/21 | 3.57 | 49 | ▼ -3.7 | 45 | 52 | |
| SUPPORT NEW | SfGothams | 5/10/28 | 3.30 | 0 | ▼ -3.5 | -4 | 0 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | TwoEyedPrince | rookie | |
| ADC | Jigann | Silver II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Malenia | Amber III | Amber II |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Shmeep | Poo Poo I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | ItzStallone | Gold I | Bronze III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | SfGothams | rookie | |
| MID | Horrify | Silver II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | OSteg | Bronze I | Silver II |
| SUPPORT | ForeverNeoo | Amber III | Amber II PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Shmeep: ORDER SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Jigann: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- Malenia: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- TwoEyedPrince: CHAOS ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- ItzStallone: ORDER MID → CHAOS JUNGLE
- ForeverNeoo: ORDER ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT
- OSteg: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Horrify: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS MID
- SfGothams: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS ADC