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ORDER WIN

07/16/2026 · Match #3 · Conquest

CONFIRMED Weak3n: WITH ⏱ 24:55 ▶ Watch VOD

Confirmed by Jalopy on 8/10/2026, 11:01:45 PM

Kills 3115
MVP · best KDA iRoFFLe 7/2/14
Biggest Elo gain iRoFFLe +10.9
Biggest Elo drop InspectorCody -6.8

Balance Analysis

Based on 222 prior matches
ORDER
21
51% win prob
Δ 5
Balanced
CHAOS
16
49% win prob
51%
49%
Order win probChaos win prob

Calibrated model prediction: 100% Order / 0% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).

Lane Matchups

Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.

JUNGLE
AlphaClaps
OVR Gold III
JUNGLE Amber I
MISMATCH — Chaos gap 67 · 60% favored
Weak3n
OVR Obsidian III
JUNGLE Gold I
ADC
Sneak
OVR Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order gap 58 · 58% favored
i cant read
OVR ROFFLE Tier
ADC ROFFLE Tier
MID
Malenia
OVR Poo Poo I
MID Amber III
EVEN gap 2 · 50% favored
InspectorCody
OVR Amber III PLACEMENT
MID Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
ItzStallone
OVR Gold III
SOLO Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN gap 9 · 51% favored
Spoon
OVR Poo Poo III
SOLO Poo Poo II
SUPPORT
iRoFFLe
OVR Dog Shit I
SUPPORT Amber I
EVEN gap 1 · 50% favored
ForeverNeoo
OVR Amber I
SUPPORT Amber I PLACEMENT

ORDER (WIN) 31 kills Team Δ +29.6

RolePlayerGodK/D/AKDA BeforeΔAfterGP
JUNGLE SECONDARY AlphaClaps TOP DMG 13/5/12 5.00 60 ▲ +4.6 64 52
ADC NEW Sneak 2/3/8 3.33 0 ▲ +2.7 3 0
MID Malenia 8/2/10 9.00 -1 ▲ +8.2 7 13
SOLO OFF-ROLE ItzStallone 1/3/8 3.00 64 ▲ +3.2 67 42
SUPPORT iRoFFLe MVP C 7/2/14 10.50 -19 ▲ +10.9 -8 63

CHAOS (LOSS) 15 kills Team Δ -20.5

RolePlayerGodK/D/AKDA BeforeΔAfterGP
JUNGLE Weak3n 4/8/4 1.00 149 ▼ -6.3 142 222
ADC i cant read C 6/3/0 2.00 -56 ▼ -2.6 -59 77
MID OFF-ROLE InspectorCody 0/9/4 0.44 -11 ▼ -6.8 -17 5
SOLO Spoon 1/3/6 2.33 -14 ▼ -2.4 -17 20
SUPPORT OFF-ROLE ForeverNeoo 4/8/6 1.25 11 ▼ -2.3 9 11

Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers

Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split

ORDER
11
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
11
50% win prob

ORDER · optimal

RolePlayerOverallIn Role
JUNGLE i cant read ROFFLE Tier Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC Sneak rookie
MID AlphaClaps Gold III Silver III PLACEMENT
SOLO Weak3n Obsidian III Platinum II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT Malenia Poo Poo I Amber III PLACEMENT

CHAOS · optimal

RolePlayerOverallIn Role
JUNGLE InspectorCody Amber III PLACEMENT Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC ForeverNeoo Amber I Amber III PLACEMENT
MID Spoon Poo Poo III Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO ItzStallone Gold III Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT iRoFFLe Dog Shit I Amber I

What changed vs actual draft

Notes / Flags