ORDER WIN
07/14/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 8/10/2026, 11:06:45 PM
Kills
50 – 25
MVP · best KDA
Riptzer 10/3/28
Biggest Elo gain
Riptzer +10.6
Biggest Elo drop
Weak3n -6.1
Balance Analysis
Based on 209 prior matchesORDER
52% win prob
Δ 15
Balanced
CHAOS
48% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 100% Order / 0% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Jones3Gaming
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 57 · 58% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond II
JUNGLE
Silver I
ADC
i cant read
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 15 · 52% favored
BiggieSlaps
OVR
Poo Poo I
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Malenia
OVR
Bronze II PLACEMENT
MID
Bronze II PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 21 · 53% favored
VooDooMoMaJuJu
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Bibby
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 3 · 50% favored
XDrew600
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Master II
SUPPORT
Master I
MISMATCH — Order
gap 249 · 81% favored
Horrify
OVR
Amber I
SUPPORT
Dog Shit II
ORDER (WIN) 50 kills Team Δ +28.7
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | Jones3Gaming | 6/4/22 | 7.00 | 0 | ▲ +4.7 | 5 | 0 | |
| ADC | i cant read | 17/7/11 | 4.00 | -33 | ▲ +2.9 | -30 | 66 | |
| MID | Malenia TOP DMG | 11/9/20 | 3.44 | 27 | ▲ +2.4 | 29 | 4 | |
| SOLO | Bibby | 6/3/25 | 10.33 | 10 | ▲ +8.2 | 18 | 5 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer MVP C | 10/3/28 | 12.67 | 199 | ▲ +10.6 | 210 | 134 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 25 kills Team Δ -18.6
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 0/10/12 | 1.20 | 124 | ▼ -6.1 | 118 | 209 | |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | BiggieSlaps | 5/8/6 | 1.38 | 0 | ▼ -2.4 | -3 | 14 | |
| MID | VooDooMoMaJuJu | 9/12/7 | 1.33 | -6 | ▼ -2.4 | -9 | 4 | |
| SOLO NEW | XDrew600 | 5/12/3 | 0.67 | 0 | ▼ -5.2 | -5 | 2 | |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | Horrify C | 6/8/13 | 2.38 | 12 | ▼ -2.4 | 10 | 42 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Malenia | Bronze II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | XDrew600 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | VooDooMoMaJuJu | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond II | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Bibby | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber II PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | ROFFLE Tier | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Jones3Gaming | rookie | |
| MID | BiggieSlaps | Poo Poo I | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Horrify | Amber I | Bronze I |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Master II | Master I |
What changed vs actual draft
- Bibby: ORDER SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- Malenia: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- XDrew600: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER ADC
- VooDooMoMaJuJu: CHAOS MID → ORDER MID
- Riptzer: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS SUPPORT
- i cant read: ORDER ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Jones3Gaming: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS ADC
- BiggieSlaps: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS MID
- Horrify: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS SOLO
Notes / Flags
- XDrew600 [weak3n_said]: rip i dont even know what he is doing
- XDrew600 [shitter]: horrid build