ORDER WIN
07/12/2026 · Match #3 · Conquest
Balance Analysis
Based on 200 prior matchesORDER
48% win prob
Δ 15
Balanced
CHAOS
52% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 1% Order / 99% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
StutterMcGee
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 55 · 58% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond III
JUNGLE
Silver I
ADC
Jordi
OVR
Bronze II PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 29 · 54% favored
i cant read
OVR
Dog Shit III
ADC
Dog Shit III
MID
BiggieSlaps
OVR
Dog Shit II
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 8 · 51% favored
Basic Unc
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
TenochMedina
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 37 · 55% favored
OSteg
OVR
Amber I
SOLO
Silver III
SUPPORT
Jigann
OVR
Bronze I
SUPPORT
Silver III
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 42 · 56% favored
R0cur0nium
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) 28 kills Team Δ +31.3
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | StutterMcGee | 9/8/12 | 2.63 | 0 | ▲ +6.3 | 6 | 0 | |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | Jordi MVP | 10/4/8 | 4.50 | 26 | ▲ +11.1 | 37 | 3 | |
| MID | BiggieSlaps | 7/9/12 | 2.11 | -22 | ▲ +5.0 | -17 | 10 | |
| SOLO NEW | TenochMedina | 0/0/0 | 0.00 | -9 | ▲ +1.8 | -7 | 2 | |
| SUPPORT | Jigann | 2/8/16 | 2.25 | 29 | ▲ +7.1 | 36 | 19 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 33 kills Team Δ -23.5
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 12/8/16 | 3.50 | 118 | ▼ -5.9 | 112 | 200 | |
| ADC | i cant read | 6/3/4 | 3.33 | -28 | ▼ -5.9 | -34 | 58 | |
| MID OFF-ROLE | Basic Unc | 6/6/10 | 2.67 | -6 | ▼ -3.9 | -10 | 5 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | OSteg | 8/7/10 | 2.57 | 13 | ▼ -3.9 | 9 | 90 | |
| SUPPORT NEW | R0cur0nium | 1/5/18 | 3.80 | 0 | ▼ -3.9 | -4 | 0 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jordi | Bronze II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | StutterMcGee | rookie | |
| MID | BiggieSlaps | Dog Shit II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | OSteg | Amber I | Silver III |
| SUPPORT | Jigann | Bronze I | Silver III |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | Dog Shit III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Basic Unc | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | TenochMedina | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | R0cur0nium | rookie | |
What changed vs actual draft
- Jordi: ORDER ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- StutterMcGee: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER ADC
- OSteg: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SOLO
- TenochMedina: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS MID
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- i cant read: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Basic Unc: CHAOS MID → CHAOS ADC
Notes / Flags
- OSteg [general]: top
- TenochMedina [general]: cap
- i cant read [general]: cap
- Basic Unc [shitter]: bottom dmg on team