06/04/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 6/5/2026, 1:46:23 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 34:53
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2788815201?t=02h49m19s @ 10159s
Balance Analysis
Based on 190 prior matchesORDER
47% win prob
Δ 23
Balanced
CHAOS
53% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
CashoutSinai
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 9 · 51% favored
DESTROYINOOBS
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber II PLACEMENT
ADC
i cant read
OVR
Dog Shit I
ADC
Dog Shit III
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 19 · 53% favored
tresMANIACS
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum II
MID
Platinum III
MISMATCH — Order
gap 88 · 62% favored
Jordi
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
ItsStylez
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber I PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 82 · 62% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Platinum III
SOLO
Platinum II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
TurdThief
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 76 · 61% favored
Jalopy
OVR
Platinum II
SUPPORT
Gold I
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -22.4
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE OFF-ROLE | CashoutSinai | Susano | 2 | 9 | 3 | -7 | -5.7 | -12 | 4 |
| ADC | i cant read | Hou Yi | 7 | 6 | 4 | -20 | -3.2 | -23 | 50 |
| MID | Boolougames C | Discordia | 2 | 7 | 8 | 93 | -4.6 | 89 | 98 |
| SOLO NEW | ItsStylez | Loki | 7 | 8 | 8 | 15 | -3.3 | 11 | 2 |
| SUPPORT NEW | TurdThief | Scylla | 5 | 9 | 5 | 0 | -5.6 | -6 | 0 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +28.1
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | DESTROYINOOBS | Awilix | 6 | 6 | 10 | 9 | +1.7 | 11 | 2 |
| ADC NEW | tresMANIACS | Apollo | 14 | 5 | 4 | -6 | +2.5 | -4 | 1 |
| MID NEW | Jordi | Vulcan | 9 | 1 | 20 | 11 | +17.0 | 28 | 1 |
| SOLO OFF-ROLE | Weak3n TOP DMG | Agni | 10 | 7 | 12 | 82 | +2.0 | 84 | 190 |
| SUPPORT | Jalopy C | Geb | 0 | 4 | 22 | 98 | +4.8 | 103 | 28 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Boolougames | Platinum II | Platinum I PLACEMENT |
| ADC | DESTROYINOOBS | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | tresMANIACS | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | CashoutSinai | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jordi | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jalopy | Platinum II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | TurdThief | rookie | |
| MID | ItsStylez | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Platinum III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | i cant read | Dog Shit I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Boolougames: ORDER MID → ORDER JUNGLE
- CashoutSinai: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- tresMANIACS: CHAOS ADC → ORDER MID
- Jordi: CHAOS MID → ORDER SUPPORT
- DESTROYINOOBS: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER ADC
- i cant read: ORDER ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT
- ItsStylez: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS MID
- TurdThief: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS ADC
- Jalopy: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS JUNGLE