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06/03/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest CONFIRMED

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Confirmed by Jalopy on 6/4/2026, 3:42:38 AM

CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 33:53

VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2788025718?t=00h20m51s @ 1251s

Balance Analysis

Based on 189 prior matches
ORDER
-10
42% win prob
Δ 55
Lean CHAOS
CHAOS
45
58% win prob

Lane Matchups

Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.

JUNGLE
inbowned
OVR Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos gap 23 · 53% favored
Weak3n
OVR Gold I
JUNGLE Bronze II
ADC
JustCallMeNick
OVR Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order gap 26 · 54% favored
OSteg
OVR Amber II
ADC Dog Shit III
MID
TramboneKing
OVR ROFFLE Tier
MID Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos gap 16 · 52% favored
Jalopy
OVR Platinum II
MID Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
ItsStylez
OVR Bronze III PLACEMENT
SOLO Bronze III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order gap 29 · 54% favored
Shmeep
OVR Poo Poo I
SOLO Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Edgewing
OVR ROFFLE Tier
SUPPORT Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos gap 22 · 53% favored
ELLEONTTV
OVR Silver I
SUPPORT Amber III PLACEMENT

ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -22.5

RolePlayerGodKDA BeforeΔAfterGP
JUNGLE NEW inbowned Fenrir 15 8 7 0 -4.6 -5 0
ADC NEW JustCallMeNick Ishtar 6 9 13 0 -6.6 -7 0
MID SECONDARY TramboneKing Vulcan 3 7 12 -34 -6.4 -40 19
SOLO NEW ItsStylez C Achilles 5 3 12 17 -2.1 15 1
SUPPORT SECONDARY Edgewing Horus 5 9 13 -32 -2.8 -35 31

CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +25.3

RolePlayerGodKDA BeforeΔAfterGP
JUNGLE Weak3n Rama 13 6 8 77 +4.9 82 189
ADC THIRD OSteg Apollo 10 8 16 6 +4.2 10 88
MID THIRD Jalopy TOP DMG Agni 7 6 20 92 +5.8 98 27
SOLO Shmeep C Odin 0 8 16 -4 +3.3 -1 10
SUPPORT SECONDARY ELLEONTTV Sobek 6 6 20 56 +7.1 63 21

Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers

Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split

ORDER
8
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
6
50% win prob

ORDER · optimal

RolePlayerOverallIn Role
JUNGLE Jalopy Platinum II Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC JustCallMeNick rookie
MID ItsStylez Bronze III PLACEMENT Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO OSteg Amber II Bronze I
SUPPORT TramboneKing ROFFLE Tier Amber II PLACEMENT

CHAOS · optimal

RolePlayerOverallIn Role
JUNGLE inbowned rookie
ADC ELLEONTTV Silver I Amber III PLACEMENT
MID Shmeep Poo Poo I Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO Weak3n Gold I Platinum II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT Edgewing ROFFLE Tier Amber III PLACEMENT

What changed vs actual draft