06/02/2026 · Match #3 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 6/4/2026, 3:10:23 AM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 26:42
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2787247412?t=02h56m35s @ 10595s
Balance Analysis
Based on 188 prior matchesORDER
53% win prob
Δ 20
Balanced
CHAOS
47% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
leoorchild
OVR
Bronze III
JUNGLE
Bronze III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 19 · 53% favored
DESTROYINOOBS
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
i cant read
OVR
Poo Poo III
ADC
Dog Shit I
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 35 · 55% favored
Horrify
OVR
Amber II
ADC
Amber I PLACEMENT
MID
Weak3n
OVR
Gold I
MID
Amber I
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 42 · 56% favored
OSteg
OVR
Amber III
MID
Dog Shit III
SOLO
kenzeiys
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 0 · 50% favored
ItsStylez
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Hydra
OVR
Bronze I PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Bronze III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 21 · 53% favored
Oblivion
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -29.0
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE THIRD | leoorchild | Nemesis | 2 | 8 | 3 | 21 | -13.3 | 8 | 12 |
| ADC | i cant read | Rama | 8 | 8 | 0 | -13 | -6.8 | -20 | 49 |
| MID OFF-ROLE | Weak3n | Scylla | 4 | 4 | 4 | 81 | -4.1 | 77 | 188 |
| SOLO NEW | kenzeiys | Thor | 2 | 4 | 11 | 0 | -2.2 | -2 | 0 |
| SUPPORT | Hydra C | Horus | 1 | 5 | 5 | 29 | -2.7 | 27 | 6 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +31.7
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | DESTROYINOOBS | Awilix | 8 | 4 | 16 | 5 | +4.5 | 9 | 1 |
| ADC THIRD | Horrify | Xbalanque | 5 | 3 | 9 | 9 | +3.4 | 12 | 41 |
| MID SECONDARY | OSteg | Nut | 5 | 4 | 12 | 3 | +3.2 | 6 | 87 |
| SOLO NEW | ItsStylez | Loki | 6 | 1 | 14 | 0 | +16.8 | 17 | 0 |
| SUPPORT NEW | Oblivion C | Sylvanus | 5 | 5 | 15 | 5 | +3.7 | 8 | 2 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Hydra | Bronze I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Horrify | Amber II | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| MID | leoorchild | Bronze III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | OSteg | Amber III | Bronze I |
| SUPPORT | kenzeiys | rookie | |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Oblivion | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | ItsStylez | rookie | |
| MID | DESTROYINOOBS | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Gold I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | i cant read | Poo Poo III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- leoorchild: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER MID
- Hydra: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER JUNGLE
- kenzeiys: ORDER SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- OSteg: CHAOS MID → ORDER SOLO
- Horrify: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- Weak3n: ORDER MID → CHAOS SOLO
- i cant read: ORDER ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT
- DESTROYINOOBS: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS MID
- Oblivion: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS JUNGLE
- ItsStylez: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS ADC