ORDER WIN
06/01/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 6/4/2026, 2:40:41 AM
Kills
42 – 22
MVP · best KDA
Porky16 7/4/16
Biggest Elo gain
Porky16 +6.8
Biggest Elo drop
JackD22 -9.0
Balance Analysis
Based on 185 prior matchesORDER
54% win prob
Δ 29
Lean ORDER
CHAOS
46% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 100% Order / 0% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Gold III
JUNGLE
Amber III
EVEN
gap 3 · 50% favored
Maesh
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Bubbles
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 0 · 50% favored
JackD22
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
DESTROYINOOBS
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 1 · 50% favored
LordSlatysteak
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Boolougames
OVR
Platinum III
SOLO
Bronze II
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 24 · 53% favored
MrUMS
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Porky16
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 0 · 50% favored
lovedpapii
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) 42 kills Team Δ +27.5
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 3/4/17 | 5.00 | 61 | ▲ +4.8 | 66 | 185 | |
| ADC NEW | Bubbles | 12/5/13 | 5.00 | 0 | ▲ +5.1 | 5 | 0 | |
| MID NEW | DESTROYINOOBS | 11/5/13 | 4.80 | 0 | ▲ +4.9 | 5 | 0 | |
| SOLO THIRD | Boolougames | 9/4/13 | 5.50 | 89 | ▲ +5.9 | 95 | 95 | |
| SUPPORT NEW | Porky16 MVP | 7/4/16 | 5.75 | 0 | ▲ +6.8 | 7 | 0 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 22 kills Team Δ -23.5
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | Maesh | 8/7/8 | 2.29 | 0 | ▼ -3.3 | -3 | 0 | |
| ADC NEW | JackD22 | 3/11/7 | 0.91 | 0 | ▼ -9.0 | -9 | 0 | |
| MID NEW | LordSlatysteak TOP DMG | 1/6/16 | 2.83 | -1 | ▼ -2.9 | -4 | 2 | |
| SOLO NEW | MrUMS | 5/8/3 | 1.00 | 5 | ▼ -3.9 | 1 | 1 | |
| SUPPORT NEW | lovedpapii | 5/10/10 | 1.50 | 0 | ▼ -4.4 | -4 | 0 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 2
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | MrUMS | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Maesh | rookie | |
| MID | JackD22 | rookie | |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Gold III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | lovedpapii | rookie | |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Boolougames | Platinum III | Platinum I PLACEMENT |
| ADC | LordSlatysteak | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Porky16 | rookie | |
| SOLO | Bubbles | rookie | |
| SUPPORT | DESTROYINOOBS | rookie | |
What changed vs actual draft
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- MrUMS: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- JackD22: CHAOS ADC → ORDER MID
- lovedpapii: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- Maesh: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER ADC
- Boolougames: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Bubbles: ORDER ADC → CHAOS SOLO
- Porky16: ORDER SUPPORT → CHAOS MID
- DESTROYINOOBS: ORDER MID → CHAOS SUPPORT
- LordSlatysteak: CHAOS MID → CHAOS ADC