05/11/2026 · Match #4 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/12/2026, 1:03:53 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 25:22
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2769813660?t=02h47m12s @ 10032s
Balance Analysis
Based on 134 prior matchesORDER
52% win prob
Δ 11
Balanced
CHAOS
48% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
SoyZangano
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 74 · 60% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
JUNGLE
Gold I
ADC
TheBugOnYou
OVR
Bronze II PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 49 · 57% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Amber II
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MID
Suhlayer
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
MID
Amber I PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 3 · 50% favored
Dest
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
MID
Amber I PLACEMENT
SOLO
JohnRowing
OVR
Amber III
SOLO
Poo Poo I
EVEN
gap 1 · 50% favored
ANHURRRRR
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Obsidian II
SUPPORT
Obsidian II
MISMATCH — Order
gap 155 · 71% favored
OneFruityDon
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +29.0
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | SoyZangano | Hun Batz | 6 | 5 | 11 | 0 | +2.1 | 2 | 0 |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | TheBugOnYou | Apollo | 4 | 1 | 8 | 28 | +7.0 | 35 | 3 |
| MID | Suhlayer C TOP DMG | Morgan Le Fay | 8 | 1 | 5 | 12 | +8.3 | 20 | 4 |
| SOLO | JohnRowing | Thor | 4 | 1 | 10 | 1 | +9.5 | 11 | 14 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | Geb | 4 | 5 | 11 | 159 | +2.2 | 161 | 91 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -21.9
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Ratatoskr | 9 | 4 | 2 | 138 | -2.1 | 136 | 134 |
| ADC THIRD | Jonhy0700 | Hou Yi | 0 | 6 | 6 | 8 | -3.8 | 5 | 125 |
| MID | Dest C | Scylla | 1 | 8 | 3 | 15 | -12.7 | 2 | 6 |
| SOLO NEW | ANHURRRRR | Sobek | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -1.4 | 0 | 1 |
| SUPPORT NEW | OneFruityDon | Bacchus | 2 | 6 | 6 | -20 | -1.9 | -22 | 2 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | TheBugOnYou | Bronze II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | ANHURRRRR | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Riptzer | Obsidian II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | SoyZangano | rookie | |
| SUPPORT | Dest | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Suhlayer | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | OneFruityDon | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | JohnRowing | Amber III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Amber II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- TheBugOnYou: ORDER ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- Riptzer: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER MID
- SoyZangano: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Dest: CHAOS MID → ORDER SUPPORT
- ANHURRRRR: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER ADC
- Suhlayer: ORDER MID → CHAOS JUNGLE
- JohnRowing: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS MID
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT
- OneFruityDon: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS ADC
Notes / Flags
- ANHURRRRR [shitter]: lowest dmg in the game 8k - 25 mins