ORDER WIN
05/11/2026 · Match #4 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/12/2026, 1:03:53 PM
Kills
26 – 13
MVP · best KDA
JohnRowing 4/1/10
Biggest Elo gain
JohnRowing +9.5
Biggest Elo drop
Dest -12.7
Balance Analysis
Based on 134 prior matchesORDER
52% win prob
Δ 11
Balanced
CHAOS
48% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 100% Order / 0% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
SoyZangano
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 74 · 60% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
JUNGLE
Gold I
ADC
TheBugOnYou
OVR
Bronze II PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 49 · 57% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Amber II
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MID
Suhlayer
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
MID
Amber I PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 3 · 50% favored
Dest
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
MID
Amber I PLACEMENT
SOLO
JohnRowing
OVR
Amber III
SOLO
Poo Poo I
EVEN
gap 1 · 50% favored
ANHURRRRR
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Riptzer
OVR
Obsidian II
SUPPORT
Obsidian II
MISMATCH — Order
gap 155 · 71% favored
OneFruityDon
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) 26 kills Team Δ +29.0
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE NEW | SoyZangano | 6/5/11 | 3.40 | 0 | ▲ +2.1 | 2 | 0 | |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | TheBugOnYou | 4/1/8 | 12.00 | 28 | ▲ +7.0 | 35 | 3 | |
| MID | Suhlayer C TOP DMG | 8/1/5 | 13.00 | 12 | ▲ +8.3 | 20 | 4 | |
| SOLO | JohnRowing MVP | 4/1/10 | 14.00 | 1 | ▲ +9.5 | 11 | 14 | |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer | 4/5/11 | 3.00 | 159 | ▲ +2.2 | 161 | 91 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 13 kills Team Δ -21.9
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 9/4/2 | 2.75 | 138 | ▼ -2.1 | 136 | 134 | |
| ADC THIRD | Jonhy0700 | 0/6/6 | 1.00 | 8 | ▼ -3.8 | 5 | 125 | |
| MID | Dest C | 1/8/3 | 0.50 | 15 | ▼ -12.7 | 2 | 6 | |
| SOLO NEW | ANHURRRRR | 1/3/5 | 2.00 | 2 | ▼ -1.4 | 0 | 1 | |
| SUPPORT NEW | OneFruityDon | 2/6/6 | 1.33 | -20 | ▼ -1.9 | -22 | 2 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | TheBugOnYou | Bronze II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | ANHURRRRR | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Riptzer | Obsidian II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | SoyZangano | rookie | |
| SUPPORT | Dest | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Suhlayer | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | OneFruityDon | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | JohnRowing | Amber III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Amber II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- TheBugOnYou: ORDER ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- Riptzer: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER MID
- SoyZangano: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Dest: CHAOS MID → ORDER SUPPORT
- ANHURRRRR: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER ADC
- Suhlayer: ORDER MID → CHAOS JUNGLE
- JohnRowing: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS MID
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT
- OneFruityDon: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS ADC
Notes / Flags
- ANHURRRRR [shitter]: lowest dmg in the game 8k - 25 mins