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05/06/2026 · Match #6 · Conquest CONFIRMED

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Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/7/2026, 1:56:45 PM

CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 28:27

VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2765898749?t=03h49m41s @ 13781s

Balance Analysis

Based on 117 prior matches
ORDER
48
54% win prob
Δ 29
Lean ORDER UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
19
46% win prob

Lane Matchups

Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.

JUNGLE
Jonhy0700
OVR Bronze II
JUNGLE Amber III
EVEN gap 3 · 50% favored
Sink
OVR Amber II PLACEMENT
JUNGLE Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
leoorchild
OVR Amber II PLACEMENT
ADC Amber II PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos gap 13 · 52% favored
Kryooo
OVR Gold II
ADC Bronze III
MID
Weak3n
OVR Obsidian III
MID Bronze II
SLIGHT EDGE — Order gap 16 · 52% favored
Suhlayer
OVR Amber II PLACEMENT
MID Amber II PLACEMENT
SOLO
JohnRowing
OVR Amber I
SOLO Amber I
EVEN gap 7 · 51% favored
timerrr
OVR Amber I PLACEMENT
SOLO Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Draiden
OVR Silver II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT Bronze III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order gap 21 · 53% favored
SpkNoEvil
OVR Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT Amber III PLACEMENT

ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -30.7

RolePlayerGodKDA BeforeΔAfterGP
JUNGLE Jonhy0700 C Nemesis 2 4 5 26 -6.1 20 109
ADC leoorchild Rama 6 5 8 8 -1.9 6 5
MID OFF-ROLE Weak3n Princess Bari 5 8 9 146 -6.0 140 117
SOLO JohnRowing Thor 4 5 1 13 -11.5 1 13
SUPPORT Draiden Athena 1 9 12 47 -5.2 42 7

CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +32.5

RolePlayerGodKDA BeforeΔAfterGP
JUNGLE Sink C TOP DMG Tsukuyomi 10 3 12 8 +7.3 16 8
ADC Kryooo Cernunnos 7 5 7 67 +2.8 70 60
MID Suhlayer Zeus 9 3 6 7 +5.1 12 3
SOLO timerrr Mordred 3 1 9 10 +13.2 24 3
SUPPORT NEW SpkNoEvil Atlas 2 6 17 0 +4.2 4 0

Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers

Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split

ORDER
24
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
24
50% win prob

ORDER · optimal

RolePlayerOverallIn Role
JUNGLE leoorchild Amber II PLACEMENT Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC Draiden Silver II PLACEMENT Amber III PLACEMENT
MID SpkNoEvil rookie
SOLO Weak3n Obsidian III Platinum II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT Suhlayer Amber II PLACEMENT Amber III PLACEMENT

CHAOS · optimal

RolePlayerOverallIn Role
JUNGLE JohnRowing Amber I Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC Sink Amber II PLACEMENT Amber I PLACEMENT
MID timerrr Amber I PLACEMENT Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO Kryooo Gold II Silver I PLACEMENT
SUPPORT Jonhy0700 Bronze II Amber III PLACEMENT

What changed vs actual draft