05/06/2026 · Match #6 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/7/2026, 1:56:45 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 28:27
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2765898749?t=03h49m41s @ 13781s
Balance Analysis
Based on 117 prior matchesORDER
54% win prob
Δ 29
Lean ORDER
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
46% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze II
JUNGLE
Amber III
EVEN
gap 3 · 50% favored
Sink
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
leoorchild
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber II PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 13 · 52% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Gold II
ADC
Bronze III
MID
Weak3n
OVR
Obsidian III
MID
Bronze II
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 16 · 52% favored
Suhlayer
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
MID
Amber II PLACEMENT
SOLO
JohnRowing
OVR
Amber I
SOLO
Amber I
EVEN
gap 7 · 51% favored
timerrr
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Draiden
OVR
Silver II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Bronze III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 21 · 53% favored
SpkNoEvil
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -30.7
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 C | Nemesis | 2 | 4 | 5 | 26 | -6.1 | 20 | 109 |
| ADC | leoorchild | Rama | 6 | 5 | 8 | 8 | -1.9 | 6 | 5 |
| MID OFF-ROLE | Weak3n | Princess Bari | 5 | 8 | 9 | 146 | -6.0 | 140 | 117 |
| SOLO | JohnRowing | Thor | 4 | 5 | 1 | 13 | -11.5 | 1 | 13 |
| SUPPORT | Draiden | Athena | 1 | 9 | 12 | 47 | -5.2 | 42 | 7 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | leoorchild | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Draiden | Silver II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | SpkNoEvil | rookie | |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Obsidian III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Suhlayer | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | JohnRowing | Amber I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Sink | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| MID | timerrr | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Kryooo | Gold II | Silver I PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Bronze II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- leoorchild: ORDER ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- Weak3n: ORDER MID → ORDER SOLO
- Draiden: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER ADC
- Suhlayer: CHAOS MID → ORDER SUPPORT
- SpkNoEvil: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER MID
- Jonhy0700: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SUPPORT
- JohnRowing: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Kryooo: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SOLO
- Sink: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS ADC
- timerrr: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS MID