CHAOS WIN
05/06/2026 · Match #5 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/7/2026, 1:45:35 PM
Kills
17 – 38
MVP · best KDA
Draiden 3/1/23
Biggest Elo gain
Draiden +16.5
Biggest Elo drop
JohnRowing -10.1
Balance Analysis
Based on 116 prior matchesORDER
48% win prob
Δ 17
Balanced
CHAOS
52% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 100% Order / 0% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Kryooo
OVR
Gold II
JUNGLE
Bronze I
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 34 · 55% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze II
JUNGLE
Amber III
ADC
leoorchild
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber I PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 19 · 53% favored
i cant read
OVR
Poo Poo II
ADC
Poo Poo II
MID
Sink
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
MID
Amber II PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 9 · 51% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
MID
Bronze III
SOLO
JohnRowing
OVR
Bronze II
SOLO
Bronze III
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 19 · 53% favored
timerrr
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Room40
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 4 · 51% favored
Draiden
OVR
Bronze I PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) 17 kills Team Δ -22.5
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Kryooo C | 6/7/5 | 1.57 | 71 | ▼ -3.6 | 67 | 59 | |
| ADC | leoorchild | 5/9/2 | 0.78 | 11 | ▼ -3.4 | 8 | 4 | |
| MID SECONDARY | Sink | 4/5/6 | 2.00 | 11 | ▼ -2.9 | 8 | 7 | |
| SOLO | JohnRowing | 1/10/4 | 0.50 | 23 | ▼ -10.1 | 13 | 12 | |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | Room40 | 1/7/5 | 0.86 | -7 | ▼ -2.6 | -9 | 3 |
CHAOS (WIN) 38 kills Team Δ +28.5
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 | 4/4/13 | 4.25 | 24 | ▲ +2.0 | 26 | 108 | |
| ADC | i cant read | 8/5/8 | 3.20 | -7 | ▲ +1.7 | -6 | 15 | |
| MID OFF-ROLE | Weak3n TOP DMG | 12/2/14 | 13.00 | 140 | ▲ +6.3 | 146 | 116 | |
| SOLO NEW | timerrr | 11/5/10 | 4.20 | 8 | ▲ +2.0 | 10 | 2 | |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | Draiden MVP C | 3/1/23 | 26.00 | 31 | ▲ +16.5 | 47 | 6 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | Poo Poo II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | timerrr | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Room40 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Bronze II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | leoorchild | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Sink | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| MID | Draiden | Bronze I PLACEMENT | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Kryooo | Gold II | Silver I PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | JohnRowing | Bronze II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Room40: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER MID
- Weak3n: CHAOS MID → ORDER SOLO
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SUPPORT
- timerrr: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER ADC
- i cant read: CHAOS ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- leoorchild: ORDER ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Kryooo: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- JohnRowing: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Sink: ORDER MID → CHAOS ADC
- Draiden: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS MID