05/06/2026 · Match #5 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/7/2026, 1:45:35 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 28:01
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2765898749?t=03h10m56s @ 11456s
Balance Analysis
Based on 116 prior matchesORDER
48% win prob
Δ 17
Balanced
CHAOS
52% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Kryooo
OVR
Gold II
JUNGLE
Bronze I
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 34 · 55% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze II
JUNGLE
Amber III
ADC
leoorchild
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber I PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 19 · 53% favored
i cant read
OVR
Poo Poo II
ADC
Poo Poo II
MID
Sink
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
MID
Amber II PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 9 · 51% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
MID
Bronze III
SOLO
JohnRowing
OVR
Bronze II
SOLO
Bronze III
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 19 · 53% favored
timerrr
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Room40
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 4 · 51% favored
Draiden
OVR
Bronze I PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -22.5
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Kryooo C | Susano | 6 | 7 | 5 | 71 | -3.6 | 67 | 59 |
| ADC | leoorchild | Rama | 5 | 9 | 2 | 11 | -3.4 | 8 | 4 |
| MID SECONDARY | Sink | Ullr | 4 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -2.9 | 8 | 7 |
| SOLO | JohnRowing | Atlas | 1 | 10 | 4 | 23 | -10.1 | 13 | 12 |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | Room40 | Yemoja | 1 | 7 | 5 | -7 | -2.6 | -9 | 3 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +28.5
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 | Hun Batz | 4 | 4 | 13 | 24 | +2.0 | 26 | 108 |
| ADC | i cant read | Cupid | 8 | 5 | 8 | -7 | +1.7 | -6 | 15 |
| MID OFF-ROLE | Weak3n TOP DMG | Anubis | 12 | 2 | 14 | 140 | +6.3 | 146 | 116 |
| SOLO NEW | timerrr | Loki | 11 | 5 | 10 | 8 | +2.0 | 10 | 2 |
| SUPPORT SECONDARY | Draiden C | Ymir | 3 | 1 | 23 | 31 | +16.5 | 47 | 6 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | i cant read | Poo Poo II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | timerrr | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Room40 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Bronze II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | leoorchild | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Sink | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| MID | Draiden | Bronze I PLACEMENT | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Kryooo | Gold II | Silver I PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | JohnRowing | Bronze II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Room40: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER MID
- Weak3n: CHAOS MID → ORDER SOLO
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SUPPORT
- timerrr: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER ADC
- i cant read: CHAOS ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- leoorchild: ORDER ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Kryooo: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- JohnRowing: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS SUPPORT
- Sink: ORDER MID → CHAOS ADC
- Draiden: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS MID