05/06/2026 · Match #4 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/7/2026, 1:37:03 PM
CHAOS WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 28:01
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2765898749?t=02h25m24s @ 8724s
Balance Analysis
Based on 115 prior matchesORDER
47% win prob
Δ 23
Balanced
CHAOS
53% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
AlphaClaps
OVR
Bronze III
JUNGLE
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Chaos
gap 31 · 54% favored
Kryooo
OVR
Gold II
JUNGLE
Bronze I
ADC
Sink
OVR
Amber I PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 16 · 52% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
ADC
Amber I PLACEMENT
MID
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze II
MID
Poo Poo II
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 19 · 53% favored
Edgewing
OVR
Dog Shit I
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Blhyss
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber II PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 25 · 54% favored
Bibby
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
TenochMedina
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 0 · 50% favored
timerrr
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) Team Δ -17.3
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | AlphaClaps | Susano | 8 | 7 | 6 | 21 | -4.3 | 17 | 34 |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | Sink | Apollo | 5 | 8 | 5 | 15 | -3.5 | 11 | 6 |
| MID THIRD | Jonhy0700 TOP DMG | Janus | 6 | 4 | 9 | 26 | -2.4 | 24 | 107 |
| SOLO | Blhyss C | Achilles | 1 | 9 | 6 | -1 | -4.9 | -6 | 7 |
| SUPPORT NEW | TenochMedina | Sobek | 3 | 7 | 8 | -6 | -2.3 | -9 | 1 |
CHAOS (WIN) Team Δ +28.0
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | Kryooo | Nemesis | 7 | 4 | 10 | 67 | +3.8 | 71 | 58 |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | Weak3n | Cupid | 8 | 8 | 5 | 138 | +1.7 | 140 | 115 |
| MID SECONDARY | Edgewing | Anubis | 8 | 7 | 8 | -16 | +2.1 | -14 | 22 |
| SOLO NEW | Bibby C | Mordred | 7 | 1 | 8 | -19 | +13.9 | -5 | 2 |
| SUPPORT NEW | timerrr | Cerberus | 5 | 3 | 13 | 2 | +6.5 | 8 | 1 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Blhyss | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Edgewing | Dog Shit I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | TenochMedina | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | timerrr | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Bibby | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Sink | Amber I PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | AlphaClaps | Bronze III | Bronze II PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Kryooo | Gold II | Silver I PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Bronze II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Blhyss: ORDER SOLO → ORDER JUNGLE
- TenochMedina: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER MID
- Edgewing: CHAOS MID → ORDER ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS ADC → ORDER SOLO
- timerrr: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SUPPORT
- Jonhy0700: ORDER MID → CHAOS SUPPORT
- AlphaClaps: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS MID
- Sink: ORDER ADC → CHAOS ADC
- Bibby: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Kryooo: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
Notes / Flags
- Blhyss [shitter]: didnt compete