ORDER WIN
05/04/2026 · Match #6 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/5/2026, 1:45:45 PM
Kills
29 – 34
MVP · best KDA
Jonhy0700 12/4/8
Biggest Elo gain
Draiden +11.3
Biggest Elo drop
TramboneKing -9.2
Balance Analysis
Based on 105 prior matchesORDER
47% win prob
Δ 24
Balanced
CHAOS
53% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 0% Order / 100% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
sillyslother
OVR
Gold II
JUNGLE
Poo Poo II
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 96 · 63% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Obsidian III
JUNGLE
Platinum III
ADC
Tametoy
OVR
Bronze III
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 43 · 56% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Silver III
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MID
Draiden
OVR
Bronze III PLACEMENT
MID
Bronze III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 23 · 53% favored
TramboneKing
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Tricky
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 23 · 53% favored
[CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420
OVR
Amber I
SOLO
Amber II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
DAW00T
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 4 · 51% favored
edith
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) 29 kills Team Δ +32.1
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | sillyslother | 8/5/12 | 4.00 | 68 | ▲ +8.8 | 77 | 59 | |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | Tametoy TOP DMG | 5/9/8 | 1.44 | 20 | ▲ +3.1 | 23 | 10 | |
| MID | Draiden C | 10/4/10 | 5.00 | 21 | ▲ +11.3 | 32 | 4 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | Tricky | 3/6/9 | 2.00 | -35 | ▲ +5.0 | -30 | 23 | |
| SUPPORT NEW | DAW00T | 3/10/11 | 1.40 | 4 | ▲ +3.9 | 8 | 1 |
CHAOS (LOSS) 34 kills Team Δ -25.2
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 11/6/13 | 4.00 | 148 | ▼ -5.3 | 143 | 105 | |
| ADC THIRD | Jonhy0700 MVP C | 12/4/8 | 5.00 | 38 | ▼ -2.0 | 36 | 97 | |
| MID SECONDARY | TramboneKing | 4/7/13 | 2.43 | -1 | ▼ -9.2 | -10 | 6 | |
| SOLO THIRD | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | 7/7/8 | 2.14 | 12 | ▼ -4.9 | 7 | 28 | |
| SUPPORT NEW | edith | 0/5/20 | 4.00 | 0 | ▼ -3.8 | -4 | 0 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Tametoy | Bronze III | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Tricky | ROFFLE Tier | Bronze II |
| MID | DAW00T | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | sillyslother | Gold II | Gold I PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Amber I | Bronze I |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Draiden | Bronze III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | TramboneKing | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | edith | rookie | |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Obsidian III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Silver III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Tametoy: ORDER ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- sillyslother: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Tricky: ORDER SOLO → ORDER ADC
- DAW00T: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER MID
- [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- Draiden: ORDER MID → CHAOS JUNGLE
- TramboneKing: CHAOS MID → CHAOS ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT
- edith: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS MID