05/04/2026 · Match #6 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/5/2026, 1:45:45 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · Length: 31:45
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2764355812?t=03h09m17s @ 11357s
Balance Analysis
Based on 105 prior matchesORDER
47% win prob
Δ 24
Balanced
CHAOS
53% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
sillyslother
OVR
Gold II
JUNGLE
Poo Poo II
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 96 · 63% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Obsidian III
JUNGLE
Platinum III
ADC
Tametoy
OVR
Bronze III
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 43 · 56% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Silver III
ADC
ROFFLE Tier
MID
Draiden
OVR
Bronze III PLACEMENT
MID
Bronze III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 23 · 53% favored
TramboneKing
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Tricky
OVR
ROFFLE Tier
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 23 · 53% favored
[CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420
OVR
Amber I
SOLO
Amber II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
DAW00T
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 4 · 51% favored
edith
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +32.1
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE SECONDARY | sillyslother | Tsukuyomi | 8 | 5 | 12 | 68 | +8.8 | 77 | 59 |
| ADC OFF-ROLE | Tametoy TOP DMG | Ishtar | 5 | 9 | 8 | 20 | +3.1 | 23 | 10 |
| MID | Draiden C | Morgan Le Fay | 10 | 4 | 10 | 21 | +11.3 | 32 | 4 |
| SOLO SECONDARY | Tricky | Ne Zha | 3 | 6 | 9 | -35 | +5.0 | -30 | 23 |
| SUPPORT NEW | DAW00T | Bacchus | 3 | 10 | 11 | 4 | +3.9 | 8 | 1 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -25.2
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | Ullr | 11 | 6 | 13 | 148 | -5.3 | 143 | 105 |
| ADC THIRD | Jonhy0700 C | Anhur | 12 | 4 | 8 | 38 | -2.0 | 36 | 97 |
| MID SECONDARY | TramboneKing | Anubis | 4 | 7 | 13 | -1 | -9.2 | -10 | 6 |
| SOLO THIRD | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Eset | 7 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -4.9 | 7 | 28 |
| SUPPORT NEW | edith | Ganesha | 0 | 5 | 20 | 0 | -3.8 | -4 | 0 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Tametoy | Bronze III | Amber I PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Tricky | ROFFLE Tier | Bronze II |
| MID | DAW00T | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | sillyslother | Gold II | Gold I PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420 | Amber I | Bronze I |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Draiden | Bronze III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | TramboneKing | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | edith | rookie | |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Obsidian III | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Silver III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- Tametoy: ORDER ADC → ORDER JUNGLE
- sillyslother: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- Tricky: ORDER SOLO → ORDER ADC
- DAW00T: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER MID
- [CopebbyEsports] MindyRox420: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- Draiden: ORDER MID → CHAOS JUNGLE
- TramboneKing: CHAOS MID → CHAOS ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS ADC → CHAOS SUPPORT
- edith: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS MID