CHAOS WIN
05/04/2026 · Match #2 · Conquest
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/5/2026, 1:07:32 PM
Kills
10 – 32
MVP · best KDA
Jonhy0700 13/1/12
Biggest Elo gain
Jonhy0700 +10.2
Biggest Elo drop
Blhyss -7.0
Balance Analysis
Based on 101 prior matchesORDER
49% win prob
Δ 8
Balanced
CHAOS
51% win prob
Order win probChaos win prob
Calibrated model prediction: 90% Order / 10% Chaos — the win-rate model scored on the calibration page (the bar above is the simpler Elo estimate).
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
JUNGLE
Gold II
MISMATCH — Order
gap 68 · 60% favored
Jonhy0700
OVR
Bronze II
JUNGLE
Amber III
ADC
AlphaClaps
OVR
Bronze II
ADC
Bronze I PLACEMENT
CLEAR EDGE — Order
gap 38 · 55% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Diamond II
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Blhyss
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Chaos
gap 21 · 53% favored
DeltaJulz613
OVR
Silver II
MID
Bronze III
SOLO
GTboss94
OVR
Poo Poo III
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 3 · 50% favored
HorrorsoftheDeep
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Draiden
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber II PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 9 · 51% favored
TramboneKing
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
ORDER (LOSS) 10 kills Team Δ -22.5
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n | 2/5/3 | 1.00 | 132 | ▼ -4.1 | 128 | 101 | |
| ADC SECONDARY | AlphaClaps | 2/8/2 | 0.50 | 24 | ▼ -4.0 | 19 | 30 | |
| MID OFF-ROLE | Blhyss C | 2/7/2 | 0.57 | 6 | ▼ -7.0 | -1 | 6 | |
| SOLO SECONDARY | GTboss94 | 3/5/1 | 0.80 | -15 | ▼ -2.8 | -17 | 10 | |
| SUPPORT NEW | Draiden | 1/7/4 | 0.71 | 9 | ▼ -4.5 | 5 | 1 |
CHAOS (WIN) 32 kills Team Δ +29.3
| Role | Player | God | K/D/A | KDA | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 MVP TOP DMG | 13/1/12 | 25.00 | 27 | ▲ +10.2 | 37 | 93 | |
| ADC THIRD | Riptzer | 3/2/4 | 3.50 | 124 | ▲ +1.7 | 126 | 67 | |
| MID | DeltaJulz613 | 8/4/15 | 5.75 | 44 | ▲ +2.3 | 46 | 29 | |
| SOLO NEW | HorrorsoftheDeep | 7/1/12 | 19.00 | -8 | ▲ +8.1 | 0 | 1 | |
| SUPPORT NEW | TramboneKing C | 1/2/24 | 12.50 | 7 | ▲ +7.0 | 14 | 2 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 0
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Draiden | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | DeltaJulz613 | Silver II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Riptzer | Diamond II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | TramboneKing | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | GTboss94 | Poo Poo III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Blhyss | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | AlphaClaps | Bronze II | Bronze I PLACEMENT |
| MID | HorrorsoftheDeep | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Bronze II | Amber III PLACEMENT |
What changed vs actual draft
- GTboss94: ORDER SOLO → ORDER SUPPORT
- Draiden: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER JUNGLE
- TramboneKing: CHAOS SUPPORT → ORDER SOLO
- Riptzer: CHAOS ADC → ORDER MID
- DeltaJulz613: CHAOS MID → ORDER ADC
- Blhyss: ORDER MID → CHAOS JUNGLE
- Weak3n: ORDER JUNGLE → CHAOS SOLO
- AlphaClaps: ORDER ADC → CHAOS ADC
- HorrorsoftheDeep: CHAOS SOLO → CHAOS MID
- Jonhy0700: CHAOS JUNGLE → CHAOS SUPPORT
Notes / Flags
- Blhyss [shitter]: bad agni gameplay
- AlphaClaps [shitter]: shit build