05/04/2026 · Match #1 · Conquest CONFIRMED
Confirmed by Jalopy on 5/5/2026, 12:53:08 PM
ORDER WIN · Weak3n: WITH · F6 by CHAOS · Length: 15:15
VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2764355812?t=00h13m18s @ 798s
Balance Analysis
Based on 100 prior matchesORDER
45% win prob
Δ 35
Lean CHAOS
UPSET — underdog won
CHAOS
55% win prob
Lane Matchups
Pre-match per-role rank vs rank. The winning side label means the predicted-favored lane, not who actually won the game.
JUNGLE
Jonhy0700
OVR
Amber I
JUNGLE
Poo Poo III
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 85 · 62% favored
Weak3n
OVR
Diamond I
JUNGLE
Gold I
ADC
Jalopy
OVR
Silver I
ADC
Bronze II PLACEMENT
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 23 · 53% favored
Room40
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
ADC
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
DeltaJulz613
OVR
Silver III
MID
Bronze III
SLIGHT EDGE — Order
gap 17 · 52% favored
Theoneisbacka
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
MID
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
TramboneKing
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber III PLACEMENT
EVEN
gap 7 · 51% favored
Blhyss
OVR
Amber II PLACEMENT
SOLO
Amber II PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Xuffer
OVR
Amber III PLACEMENT
SUPPORT
Amber III PLACEMENT
MISMATCH — Chaos
gap 136 · 69% favored
Riptzer
OVR
Diamond I
SUPPORT
Diamond II
ORDER (WIN) Team Δ +33.0
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jonhy0700 C STOMPER | Ullr | 5 | 1 | 5 | 15 | +12.1 | 27 | 92 |
| ADC THIRD | Jalopy TOP DMG STOMPER | Cupid | 5 | 2 | 7 | 51 | +7.0 | 58 | 15 |
| MID | DeltaJulz613 STOMPER | Morgan Le Fay | 1 | 1 | 3 | 39 | +4.6 | 44 | 28 |
| SOLO NEW | TramboneKing STOMPER | Vulcan | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +2.9 | 7 | 1 |
| SUPPORT NEW | Xuffer STOMPER | Yemoja | 4 | 2 | 6 | -8 | +6.5 | -2 | 2 |
CHAOS (LOSS) Team Δ -23.9
| Role | Player | God | K | D | A | Before | Δ | After | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Weak3n F6er | Scylla | 3 | 2 | 2 | 136 | -4.6 | 132 | 100 |
| ADC NEW | Room40 F6er | Rama | 1 | 7 | 4 | 1 | -7.5 | -7 | 2 |
| MID NEW | Theoneisbacka F6er | Xbalanque | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -2.4 | -2 | 0 |
| SOLO | Blhyss F6er | Bellona | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -1.6 | 6 | 5 |
| SUPPORT | Riptzer C F6er | Sylvanus | 1 | 5 | 5 | 132 | -7.8 | 124 | 66 |
Elo: per-match pool split by team-relative KDA · off-role losses softened (primary/secondary check) · placement floors shitter tiers
Optimal draft — same 10 players, balanced split
ORDER
50% win prob
Δ 1
most balanced split
CHAOS
50% win prob
ORDER · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Xuffer | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | Room40 | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Blhyss | Amber II PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | Weak3n | Diamond I | Platinum II PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Jonhy0700 | Amber I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
CHAOS · optimal
| Role | Player | Overall | In Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUNGLE | Jalopy | Silver I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| ADC | DeltaJulz613 | Silver III | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| MID | Riptzer | Diamond I | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SOLO | TramboneKing | Amber III PLACEMENT | Amber III PLACEMENT |
| SUPPORT | Theoneisbacka | rookie | |
What changed vs actual draft
- Xuffer: ORDER SUPPORT → ORDER JUNGLE
- Jonhy0700: ORDER JUNGLE → ORDER SUPPORT
- Blhyss: CHAOS SOLO → ORDER MID
- Room40: CHAOS ADC → ORDER ADC
- Weak3n: CHAOS JUNGLE → ORDER SOLO
- TramboneKing: ORDER SOLO → CHAOS SOLO
- Jalopy: ORDER ADC → CHAOS JUNGLE
- DeltaJulz613: ORDER MID → CHAOS ADC
- Riptzer: CHAOS SUPPORT → CHAOS MID
- Theoneisbacka: CHAOS MID → CHAOS SUPPORT
Notes / Flags
- Room40 [shitter]: feeding
- Theoneisbacka [weak3n_said]: WHY NOT GO IN WHEN THEY JUMPED ON ME??
- Theoneisbacka [shitter]: no coms